policies, career patterns, promotion paths, and other

incentives within its own unique culture. SOCOM’s

headquarters could be better used as a regional command for

Africa (AFCOM).

DOMESTIC SECURITY

It is patently obvious since Hurricane Katrina that many

homeland security deficiencies remain. The Department of

Homeland Security’s (DHS) requires significant and dedicated

resources. Its budget of roughly $30B has to be increased

twenty percent. It also needs to be reinforced by

transferring the National Guard to DHS (less 15 Guard combat

brigades). This would provide DHS with the leadership,

command and control, transportation, medical and manpower

assets to prepare and respond to both man-made and natural

disasters.

The Coast Guard also needs to be retooled.Its aging ships

and helicopters are not up to the task posed by new modes of

warfare.The Integrated Deepwater System, the Coast Guard’s

modernization program,á should be accelerated. This program

will provide modern cutters, aircraft, and refurbished

helicopter fleet. The program should be funded at $1.25B

per year to accelerate its achievement in 10 vice 20 years.

The Coast Guard’s end strength should be increased from

38,000 to 55,000.

CONCLUSION

Complex Irregular Warfare presents a mode of warfare that

contests America’s overwhelming conventional military

capability. It attacks the hubris behind the notion we

could “redefine war on our own terms.” The impact of the

9/11, 3/11 and 7/7 attacks have not gone unnoticed by

tomorrow’s enemies. Nor has our bloody experiences in Iraq

which offered a rich laboratory for their education.

Because of their success, protracted irregular conflicts

will not be a passing fad nor will they remainá low-tech

wars. Our opponents eagerly learn and adapt rapidly to more

efficient modes of killing.We cannot continue to overlook

our own vulnerabilities or underestimate the imaginations of

our enemies. In a world of Complex Irregular Wars, the

price for complacency only grows steeper.

END PART II.

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  1. Eddie:

    In regards to the Navy, who in a position of power will dare challenge the conventional plans? Gordon England did not, mavericks and hawks in Congress are not, Rumsfeld (thus far) is not.

    Between political pressure in the Beltway (senators from New England, Florida, Virginia especially) and the advocates of big power war in the Pentagon and the defense industry, any strategic innovation is quickly stifled.

    I don’t think the Navy will be ready for the kinds of challenges we will face in the near and mid-term future in places like South America, SE Asia and Africa. When we’re dealing with failed states that become the haven of smugglers, terrorists and warlords, we won’t have the enough of the expeditonary or littoral forces to handle the flashpoints that will be sparked by our failed policies in Latin America and Africa.

    Shrinking defense budgets will certainly not make this quandary any easier.

  2. phil:

    This assessment is defensive in nature. It asserts that potential future enemies will engage us with Complex Irregular Warfare therefore we need to have the ability to defend against it and counter it. But what about our own offensive capability? Shouldn’t we also have the capability if initiating and successfully waging CIW against our potential enemies? Intelligence and counter-intelligence are two different things. CIW and counter-CIW are also two different things that require either separate forces or the ability of a force to do both. We need to be sure that when we reorganize our military we don’t just do it in a defensive posture, but reorganize our forces and develop doctrine for offensive CIW capabilities.

    I agree with you, Mark, about DHS. The department doesn’t seem to have a clear focus. It makes sense that the Border Patrol, INS, Customs and USCG should all be together under one adminstrative roof since they have a common mission: police the borders. The Secret Service should be returned to Treasury and the FBIs counter-intelligence and counter-terrorism departments should be transferred to DHS.
    FEMA needs to be spun off as an independent agency again. Perhaps the Border Patrol should be reorganized and designated as our 8th uniformed service.

  3. Dan tdaxp:

    Between political pressure in the Beltway (senators from New England, Florida, Virginia especially) and the advocates of big power war in the Pentagon and the defense industry, any strategic innovation is quickly stifled.

    A good reason to make political pressure work for you

  4. mark:

    Eddie, Phil & Dan,

    Other than strategic power projection aspects, the Navy is my weakest area of military analysis, most of what I know had to do with nukes during the Cold War. I can’t disagree that the Navy nees a larger Littoral/riparine/sea to land assault capacity. How to develop that within the DoD budget along with future unmanned naval craft is hard for me to say. Dr. Barnett would know but he has steered away from budgetary specifics since leaving NWC.

    I agree with Phil that an offensive capacity to disrupt nascent, hostile networks should be robust.

  5. Mental Meanderings:

    A naval role that seems to have been forgotten and yet may be essential soon is that of protecting the shipping lanes. The pirate attack on the cruise ship off of Somalia seems to be an isolated incident but the South China Sea in particular is still notorious for problems and with more and more of the world’s oil supply sailing through that area, someone will eventually decide that interdiction is a good idea. At that point the U.S. Navy (most likely) will need to go back to its roots and start hunting pirates and privateers again.

    The Navy we have is not well suited to this role.

  6. call of duty modern warfare 3 trailer:

    great post my friend i hope i can share the same with you