Recommended Reading
I have but two recommended readings this week but they are both very good. I say “week” because I am going to be mostly offline for the next seven to ten days and will only have time to sporadically check in, so posting will be extremely light. My email response will also be, I say with all candor, very poor except for the most urgent business.
Scholar’s Stage – The Breakdown: The Young Aren’t Getting Enough Education
The Breakdown: Education Is More Necessary Than Ever
The Breakdown: Baby Boomers Have Higher Incomes
The Breakdown: Age and Employment
….Since the start of the current recession (or previous recession if you’re in the financial industry), we’ve read an almost constant stream of analyses, critiques, prognostications, and laments on the state of the economy. The preponderance of these took a sort of econophysics point of view, a view from 30,000 feet in which forces applied had deterministic outcomes. Local, regional, cultural, or demographic differences tend to be ignored.
I don’t think this view of behavioral or social phenomena is realistic and over the last few years I’ve repeatedly emphasized the local variants in the economic downturn and how that tends to obscure what’s actually going on nationally. Today I’m going to try to come up with an explanation of the changes in the economy that focuses on our changing demographics, particularly the differences among age cohorts. We’ll see how far I get.
A good place to start is with the graphic above. That’s what’s called the “age pyramid” for 2010. There are bars for each five year age cohort. The number of men for each cohort is shown on the left and the number of women on the right. It’s a straightforward visual snapshot that captures the country’s age and gender demographics in an eye-catching manner….
RECOMMENDED VIEWING:
Dave Schuler:
August 9th, 2010 at 2:18 am
Thanks for the link and the kind word, Mark. See also the final post in the series, The Breakdown: the Wrap.
MM:
August 9th, 2010 at 4:13 pm
Always interesting stuff. Maybe classical preoccupation will not solve current problems after all? Does this apply to geopolitics and the current thinking that a minor land war in the Middle East is critical to America in 2010? Here is an interesting blog for you: http://wuxinghongqi.blogspot.com/2010/08/chinas-first-dongfeng-21d-anti-ship.html I know it is a "Big War" kind of thing, and the blog appears to be Chinese PR managed, but maybe it is time to say that carriers are as obsolete as battleships were in 1941 and what does that mean? The "Classic Period" of WWII may be out of date too.