zenpundit.com » 2005 » February

Archive for February, 2005

Monday, February 7th, 2005

IS AMERICA READY FOR A BLACK, FEMALE, PRESIDENT ?

Dick Cheney, the most powerful Vice-President in history, has declared himself out of the run in 2008 when both the Democrats and Republicans will square off with nominees who are not incumbents.

The Republican frontrunner to beat is now Condoleeza Rice.

Rice who has steadily ascended the ranks of the foreign policy elite will, if her tenure as Secretary of State is successful, have the gravitas to make the run. If her tenure is capped by high-profile international success and if George W. Bush throws his weight behind a Rice candidacy then she may well prove unstoppable before potential opponents even line up at the gate. Rice would also neutralize the great gender-advantage the Democrats would accrue by nominating Hillary Clinton to run against some colorless and aging GOP white-guy, governor.

True, Rice has not signaled any interest in elective office but she is a Bush loyalist to the core and if both presidents Bush ask her, well then…

Run Condi, Run !

Monday, February 7th, 2005

RECOMMENDED READING [ Updated]



I was going to pull an excerpt from Marc Shulman’s post on the effect of democratic imagery on Arab satellite TV but he has a number of good posts up, so just go visit The American Future.

The birth of combat droids. ( Hat Tip American Amnesia)

Colonel Austin Bay on the odyssey of leftist goof Ward Churchill.

–Update: KC Johnson on how the case of the aforementioned leftist goof should have been handled..



Rick Heller’s Centerfield blog is morphing from pundit into a player.

In what can only be a subconscious commentary, Kevin Drum does a post where Deep Throat and Hitler’s erstwhile Reichsmarschall are juxtaposed subjects.

Can the Saudis ” deprogram ” al Qaida terrorists ?

“Rule of Law vs. Rule by Law” with an Iraqi context featured, by the ubiquitous praktike.



Lots of posts floating around on Social Security reform too but…I just don’t care.

Friday, February 4th, 2005

HAPPY 100th BIRTHDAY, AYN RAND

Ayn Rand, the late novelist-philosopher, militant advocate of liberty and reason and ferocious iconoclast, would have been one hundred years old on Wednesday. Rand merits remembering not because she swam against the intellectual currents of her day but because she, in no small part, reversed them.

Today, a former disciple of Ayn Rand, Alan Greenspan, is the world’s most powerful economist and most successful Federal Reserve Chairman in history. Her magnum opus, Atlas Shrugged is one of the greatest selling books of all time and the broad Right has displaced the broad Left at the center of American political institutions. The Soviet Union is gone and Communism is discredited, existing in only a few remote hell-holes like North Korea, looking every bit as evil and incompetent as any villain in an Ayn Rand story could hope to be.

Ayn Rand’s career arc covered much of the twentieth century and her thinking and writing changed followed that path, rising from gloomy realism to an idealistic optimism of a heroic scale and a descent into bitter realism of her final years. She died just as the world, which had celebrated collectivism for her whole long life, began turning more in her philosophical direction. She had an inkling but would never see that her cultural influence would become wide and deep even as her system, Objectivism, in its pure form, retained only a very small following. While Ayn Rand exhibited a number of blind spots at times, as an abstract logician and systemic thinker, she was of a caliber matched only by people like Herman Kahn. For me, my first reading of Ayn Rand at 18 or 19 was like turning on a light.

Stephen Chapman in the Chicago Tribune wrote:

“In her eyes, there was no greater good than the integrity and self-fulfillment of each person. One of her essay collections had the surprising title, “The Virtue of Selfishness.”Looking back, it’s hard to recapture how jarring that phrase was a generation ago, when altruism and self-sacrifice were seen as the central elements of an exemplary life.



Today, Americans take it for granted that they are entitled to live for their own happiness, without apology.It may seem curious to honor a writer who merely defended free markets, preached the superiority of reason over blind faith and extolled the American ideal of the pursuit of happiness. David Kelley, head of the Rand-oriented Objectivist Center, jokes that he’s reminded of the theatergoer who complained that “Hamlet’ was full of cliches. Rand’s beliefs have been so widely disseminated and absorbed that we have forgotten where they originated.”



Stephen Cox at the antiwar-libertarian HNN blog, Liberty & Power, wrote:

Link

“Add to Rand’s heroic intellectual independence the other distinctive features of her personality: her stubbornness, her bad temper, her growing and eventually triumphant inability to tolerate criticism, her depression and agoraphobia, her unacknowledged puritanism, her very unevenly developed sense of humor, her narrow range of literary interests, her lack of common sense about friendship, politics, and even money, her startling naivete about many aspects of history, intellectual and otherwise, her complete ignorance about many aspects of human psychology, her remarkable ability to believe almost anything she wanted to about herself, then create a history to support her beliefs . . . How could someone with these traits–and with the shyness, ingenuousness, and fragile charm that Rand also had, and preserved–ever have made an impact on our culture? And the qualities I’ve just listed were not superficial, as I found when researching the part of my book, “The Woman and the Dynamo,” that has to do with Rand’s relationship to [ Isabel] Paterson. The more you know about Ayn Rand, the more you see both the brilliant light and the eerie shade.”



Indeed.

Friday, February 4th, 2005

THE ART OF GETTING HORIZONTAL

TM Lutas had a comment on Dr. Barnett’s reaction to Bush’s SOTU. Thomas PM Barnett had written earlier today:

“Again, you got the feeling the White House wanted to avoid anything expansive on foreign policy after the way in which the inaugural speech was interpreted. But to me, that’s not letting Bush be Bush, and if he’s gonna be president another four years, shouldn’t he be?”



Shades of ” Let Reagan be Reagan “. TM responded with the following psychological observation:

“I’m getting the message that Dr. Barnett is a fellow who simply thrives on the horizontal and doesn’t much care for the vertical. Unfortunate, that, because I’d estimate that 90% of the actual work of changing the world is in verticalization of the kinds of horizontal concepts that he does so well in PNM and elsewhere. “



My response to TM is ” probably yes, but…”. I don’t know Tom except through email exchanges and what he has written for public consumption but to get the doctoral degree requires vertical mastery of a field or subfield. That being said I think at a certain level of expertise, one’s enjoyment of rooting out ever finer gradations of knowlege that fewer and fewer people can appreciate starts to diminish. Eventually, if you are really on your game, your intellectual exchanges are less dialogues than monologues not because you are a blowhard but because finding someone who can ” keep up ” is difficult.



At that point, Horizontal thinking becomes richly rewarding in terms of intellectual stimulation. You provoke exchanges with people of comparable expertise in different fields whose answers jolt you in to new patterns of thinking or bring fresh perspectives to bear. In the comments section in an earlier post I responded to Stuart’s comment on the relationship between Horizontal and Vertical thinking as follows:

Tom’s Horizontally conceived work naturally lends itself to Vertical expansion. Edward DeBono described Lateral thinking across domains/perspectives as complementary rather than adversarial toward the Vertical thinking we are familiar from experts in a field, subfield or niche. So when Tom in PNM does this:



….Concept A….Concept B…..Concept C….Concept D…



It’s relatively easy for me to come along and do this:



Extrapolation

I

I

I

<...Concept A....Concept B.....Concept C....Concept D.......>

I

I

I

Causation



Vertical thinking comes naturally to most of us. Horizontal/Lateral thinking usually does not unless we tend to be one of those individuals regarded as ” creative” but it is a skill that can be taught and learned by most of us to varying degrees. It is in part, a cultural shift in our thinking patterns.



There is a natural limit or caveat to recall when dealing with Horizontal thinking however. One of the tools used fairly liberally is the construction of analogies. Case in point, Dr. Barnett’s borrowing of the concept of System Perturbation from complexity and chaos theorists. It is not used in PNM * exactly* the way the originators of the term would use it in their field but since the global economy of nation-states is a complex system of subsystems, it’s a theory with real-world traction.

When you wander further and further from the sure ground of your own expertise, the greater the risk of your analogy becoming a false model. Collounsbury has been driven to distraction at times by the application of the lessons of the Soviet collapse/Cold War to the Arab-Islamic World. Sometimes there is transfer, particularly with Arab states that consciously aped the East bloc in structure, policy and institutions but often times not. I’ve been guilty of the false analogy here ( my area of concentration in history was US-Soviet relations) occasionally in my analysis and I have not minded a bit when Col or Juan Cole corrected me. Calling me on my sloppy reasoning only makes me sharper.

Horizontal thinking is energized and made purposeful by the cross-disciplinary debate it is intended to evoke. It shakes the vertical experts out of their narrowly framed box and keeps the horizontal visionaries tethered to earth.

Thursday, February 3rd, 2005

INTERBLOG DIALOGUE ON AL JAZEERAH

Dan at tdaxp posted a free-market paen to al Jazeerah’s privatization that povoked Collounsbury to wax prolific on understanding Mena in order to grasp the Arab media.

Posts will be short and sweet until my tech problems are resolved. Made some progress yesterday.


Switch to our mobile site