{"id":1611,"date":"2006-01-14T03:11:00","date_gmt":"2006-01-14T03:11:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=1611"},"modified":"2006-01-14T03:11:00","modified_gmt":"2006-01-14T03:11:00","slug":"1611","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=1611","title":{"rendered":""},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>FPRI: COMPLEX IRREGULAR WARFARE-PART II.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>This post is a continuation of<a href=\"http:\/\/zenpundit.blogspot.com\/2006\/01\/fpri-complex-irregular-warfare-part-i.html\"> Part I<\/a>.  and I find myself in greater disagreement with the author here; particularly in regard to DHS. Without slamming any individual employee or alphabet agency of that vast department, the whole concept needs to be rethought with a clear focus on counterintelligence and counterterrorism with an eye toward radical streamlining.<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color:#336666;\">Foreign Policy Research Institute<\/span><\/strong><br \/><strong><span style=\"color:#336666;\">50 Years of Ideas in Service to Our Nation<\/span><\/strong><br \/><strong><span style=\"color:#336666;\">1955-2005<\/span><\/strong>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fpri.org\">www.fpri.org<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color:#336666;\">COMPLEX IRREGULAR WARFARE<\/span><\/strong><br \/><strong><span style=\"color:#336666;\"><\/span><\/strong><br \/><strong><span style=\"color:#336666;\">by Frank G. Hoffman<\/span><\/strong><br \/><strong><span style=\"color:#336666;\"><\/span><\/strong><br \/><strong><span style=\"color:#336666;\">January 6, 2006<\/p>\n<p>Continued from Part I.<\/p>\n<p>U.S. NAVY<\/p>\n<p>The recently retired Chief of Naval Operations (CNO),<br \/>Admiral Vernon Clark, admitted the Navy is neither balanced<br \/>nor optimal for the ongoing GWOT or against future irregular<br \/>adversaries. The capabilities found in today&#8217;s 300 ship<br \/>fleet makes it extremely potent for conventional fights in<br \/>deep &#8220;blue water.&#8221; America&#8217;s carriers can threaten four<br \/>times as many deep strike aim points than a decade ago, and<br \/>the strike potential of the total fleet has increased three<br \/>times over. Yet,the Navy continues to add to its combat<br \/>punch. The fleet has too much strike capacity, paid for at<br \/>the expense of expeditionary and littoral combat assets that<br \/>are more relevant against\u00e1 irregular maritime threats.The<br \/>outgoing CNO was right, we do not have a balanced fleet.<\/p>\n<p>The Navy&#8217;s Mahanian lusting for a future Trafalgar or Midway<br \/>is reflected in its devotion to large, expensive ships.<br \/>This creates an unaffordable shipbuilding plan with a new<br \/>$14B\u00e1 aircraft carrier, the CVN-21, and Virginia-class<br \/>submarines estimated at $2.5B each, and a DD-X destroyer<br \/>that costs around $3B.\u00e1 The Navy&#8217;s new Littoral Combat Ship<br \/>(LCS) fits the bill with innovative hull designs, modular<br \/>mission packages, and superior speed (up to 50 knots). Just<br \/>as important, theLCS or Street Fighter provides the<br \/>requisite capability packages to \u00e1 deal with irregular<br \/>threats, at one-tenth the cost of a DD-X. Accordingly, in a<br \/>world without\u00e1 a blue water opponent, this analysis leans<br \/>towards the LCS as the new platform of choice. The DD-X<br \/>however, is retained as the sole frame for surface<br \/>combatants.<\/p>\n<p>The Navy should reduce its focus on aviation-based power<br \/>projection and\u00e1 emphasize littoral and expeditionary forces.<br \/>Reducing carrier battle groups from 11 to 9, while<br \/>preserving a robust amphibious force as a maneuverable form<br \/>of presence and cooperation is a good way to posture U.S.<br \/>forces for irregular contests.It should also increase the<br \/>number of LCS and other innovative hull forms for &#8220;green<br \/>water&#8221; operations against irregular forces increases the<br \/>utility of the Navy.<\/p>\n<p>The Navy&#8217;s new shipbuilding plan for 333 ships is like the<br \/>Army&#8217;s plan, too conventional and completely unaffordable.<br \/>The alternative\u00e1 outlined here is fleet is achieved, and<br \/>better shaped for littoral warfare, countering anti-access<br \/>threats, interdicting criminal activity and suppressing<br \/>piracy and interference to\u00e1 sea lines of communication. It<br \/>provides both the green and blue water platforms the United<br \/>States needs to counteract irregular warfare at sea. Just<br \/>as important, this fleet provides both persistent and<br \/>periodic forms of presence, maneuvering at sea, without<br \/>absorbing the political and military vulnerabilities of<br \/>fixed ports and airfields.<\/p>\n<p>SPECIAL OPERATIONS <\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color:#336666;\">One of the most cost effective and relevant capabilities in<br \/>America&#8217;s arsenal is the elite &#8220;quiet professionals&#8221; of U.S.<br \/>special operations forces (SOF). While the U.S. SOF<br \/>community has been augmented, much more can be done. Its<br \/>current optempo is too high. We currently have 80% of our<br \/>assets in\u00e1 two countries, Iraq and Afghanistan, which former<br \/>SOF veteran Mike Vickers calls &#8220;a two-country solution to a<br \/>60 country problem.&#8221;To address the lack of robust<br \/>capability, we should:<\/p>\n<p>* Increase the SOF by three battalions<\/p>\n<p>* Increase SOF&#8217;s organic intelligence and UAV assets<\/p>\n<p>* Increase SOF&#8217;s HUMINT resources by 33%<\/p>\n<p>* Increase SOF&#8217;s organic stealthy aviation assets<\/p>\n<p>In world of persistent conflict, we should consider<br \/>further institutionalizing SOF as a distinct Service-the<br \/>Special Operations\u00e1 Force (SOF). Creating a Service, to<br \/>include JCS representation, would further strengthen its<br \/>representation in key planning circles in Washington. Most<br \/>importantly, it would give SOF ownership of the personnel<br \/>policies, career  patterns, promotion paths, and other<br \/>incentives within  its own unique culture. SOCOM&#8217;s<br \/>headquarters could be better used as a regional command for<br \/>Africa (AFCOM).<\/p>\n<p>DOMESTIC SECURITY<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color:#336666;\">It is patently obvious since Hurricane Katrina that many<br \/>homeland security deficiencies remain. The Department of<br \/>Homeland Security&#8217;s (DHS) requires significant and dedicated<br \/>resources. Its budget of roughly $30B has to be increased<br \/>twenty percent. It also needs to be reinforced by<br \/>transferring the National Guard to DHS (less 15 Guard combat<br \/>brigades). This would provide DHS with the leadership,<br \/>command and control, transportation, medical and manpower<br \/>assets to prepare and respond to both man-made and natural<br \/>disasters.<\/p>\n<p>The Coast Guard also needs to be retooled.Its aging ships<br \/>and helicopters are not up to the task posed by new modes of<br \/>warfare.The Integrated Deepwater System, the Coast Guard&#8217;s<br \/>modernization program,\u00e1 should be accelerated. This program<br \/>will provide modern cutters, aircraft, and refurbished<br \/>helicopter fleet.  The program should be funded at $1.25B<br \/>per year to accelerate its achievement in 10 vice 20 years.<br \/>The Coast Guard&#8217;s end strength should be increased from<br \/>38,000 to 55,000.<\/p>\n<p>CONCLUSION <\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color:#336666;\">Complex Irregular Warfare presents a mode of warfare that<br \/>contests America&#8217;s  overwhelming  conventional  military<br \/>capability. It attacks the hubris behind the notion we<br \/>could &#8220;redefine war on our own terms.&#8221; The impact of the<br \/>9\/11, 3\/11 and 7\/7 attacks have not gone unnoticed by<br \/>tomorrow&#8217;s enemies. Nor has our bloody experiences in Iraq<br \/>which offered a  rich laboratory for their education.<br \/>Because of their success, protracted irregular conflicts<br \/>will not be a passing fad nor will they remain\u00e1 low-tech<br \/>wars. Our opponents eagerly learn and adapt rapidly to more<br \/>efficient modes of killing.We cannot continue to overlook<br \/>our own vulnerabilities or underestimate the imaginations of<br \/>our enemies.  In a world of Complex Irregular Wars, the<br \/>price for complacency only grows steeper.<\/span><\/strong><br \/><strong><span style=\"color:#336666;\"><\/span><\/strong><br \/><strong><span style=\"color:#000000;\">END PART II.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>FPRI: COMPLEX IRREGULAR WARFARE-PART II. This post is a continuation of Part I. and I find myself in greater disagreement with the author here; particularly in regard to DHS. Without slamming any individual employee or alphabet agency of that vast department, the whole concept needs to be rethought with a clear focus on counterintelligence and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1611","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1611","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1611"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1611\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1611"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1611"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1611"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}