{"id":2634,"date":"2008-03-11T03:58:31","date_gmt":"2008-03-11T03:58:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=2634"},"modified":"2008-03-11T03:58:31","modified_gmt":"2008-03-11T03:58:31","slug":"the-black-swan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=2634","title":{"rendered":"The Black Swan"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a0I finally started reading <strong><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.fooledbyrandomness.com\/\">Nassim Nicholas Taleb&#8217;s<\/a><\/strong> \u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/gp\/product\/1400063515?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=zenpundit-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=9325&amp;creativeASIN=1400063515\"><em><strong>The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable<\/strong><\/em><\/a><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" width=\"1\" src=\"http:\/\/www.assoc-amazon.com\/e\/ir?t=zenpundit-20&amp;l=as2&amp;o=1&amp;a=1400063515\" height=\"1\" style=\"margin: 0px; border: medium none\" \/>\u00a0today and I&#8217;m already impressed <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" align=\"right\" width=\"166\" src=\"http:\/\/ecx.images-amazon.com\/images\/I\/41TF4H15VEL.jpg\" height=\"250\" \/>with it. Taleb&#8217;s very straightforward in attacking the limitations of Bell Curve assumptions and the common assumptions regarding the extent of uncertainty ( most people, unless they are futurists or, say, design computer models, seldom contemplate questions of <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/zenpundit.blogspot.com\/2006\/07\/complexity-networks-security-and.html\">deep<\/a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/zenpundit.blogspot.com\/2007\/01\/uncertainty-intelligence-puzzles-and.html\">uncertainty<\/a> that might be in play). The book is really a tutorial on epistemology.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ll review this one when I&#8217;m finished.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a0I finally started reading Nassim Nicholas Taleb&#8217;s \u00a0The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable\u00a0today and I&#8217;m already impressed with it. Taleb&#8217;s very straightforward in attacking the limitations of Bell Curve assumptions and the common assumptions regarding the extent of uncertainty ( most people, unless they are futurists or, say, design computer models, seldom [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[323,525,325,363],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2634","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-black-swans","category-epistemology","category-gaussian","category-risk"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2634","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2634"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2634\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2634"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2634"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2634"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}