{"id":2897,"date":"2008-10-11T05:11:23","date_gmt":"2008-10-11T05:11:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=2897"},"modified":"2008-10-11T05:28:07","modified_gmt":"2008-10-11T05:28:07","slug":"musings-on-the-economic-crisis-and-the-day-after","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=2897","title":{"rendered":"Musings  on the Economic Crisis and the Day After"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The scale of the economic crisis has begin to sink in to the point where leaders of the G-8\/G-20 have begin to realize that everyone\u00a0dwelling on the welfare of\u00a0parochial, politically favored, financial interests ( Goldman Sachs in the case of the U.S.) is not going to get the world out of this crisis. Coordination of macroeconomic levers will be the key. Some good posts that I strongly encourage\u00a0you\u00a0to read, \u00a0before I comment:<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"bookmark\" href=\"http:\/\/fabiusmaximus.wordpress.com\/2008\/10\/10\/critical-point\/\">Status report on the financial crisis: we&#8217;re at a critical point in\u00a0time<\/a>\u00a0by <strong>Fabius Maximus<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/smartpei.typepad.com\/robert_patersons_weblog\/2008\/10\/encouraging-sig.html\">Encouraging signs &#8211; coordination appearing<\/a>\u00a0by <strong>Robert Paterson<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/delong.typepad.com\/sdj\/2008\/10\/notes-to-self-w.html\">Notes to Self: What Are We Doing?<\/a>\u00a0by <strong>Brad DeLong<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rgemonitor.com\/roubini-monitor\/253973\/the_world_is_at_severe_risk_of_a_global_systemic_financial_meltdown_and_a_severe_global_depression\">The world is at severe risk of a global systemic financial meltdown and a severe global depression<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0by <strong>Nouriel Roubini<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.becker-posner-blog.com\/archives\/2008\/10\/equities_pay_ca.html\">Equities, Pay Caps, Liquidity: Structuring a Bailout&#8211;Posner<\/a>\u00a0&amp; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/zenpundit.com\/wp-admin\/Government%20Equity%20in%20Private%20Companies:%20A%20Bad%20Idea-Becker\">Government Equity in Private Companies: A Bad Idea-Becker<\/a>\u00a0by <strong>Becker and Posner Blog<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.niallferguson.com\/site\/FERG\/Templates\/ArticleItem.aspx?pageid=195\">Geopolitical Consequences of the Credit Crunch<\/a> by<strong> Niall Ferguson<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.thomaspmbarnett.com\/weblog\/2008\/10\/how_to_view_this_system_pertur.html\">How to view this system perturbation<\/a>\u00a0by <strong>Thomas P.M. Barnett<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/2008\/10\/wolfgang-munchau-policy-errors-risk.html\">Wolfgang Munchau: Policy Errors Risk Turning Credit Crunch Into Depression<\/a>\u00a0 and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/2008\/10\/are-hedge-fund-margin-calls-leading-to.html\">Are Hedge Fund Margin Calls Leading to Stock Rout?<\/a>\u00a0by <strong>Naked Capitalism<\/strong> ( HT to John Robb)<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"bookmark\" href=\"http:\/\/www.d-n-i.net\/dni\/2008\/10\/08\/national-orientation\/\">National Orientation<\/a>\u00a0by <strong>Chet Richards<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/globalguerrillas.typepad.com\/globalguerrillas\/2008\/10\/journal-cascadi.html\">JOURNAL: Cascading Bubbles<\/a>\u00a0by <strong>John Robb<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>What is to be done ?<\/p>\n<p>Aside from shortsightedness that comes from playing primarily\u00a0to domestic political inside interests, there is another reason that G-7 leaders in particular are moving slowly in coming to terms with reality of this crisis: the interconnectedness\u00a0wrought by globalization implies that the\u00a0long term solution involves a considerable erosion of sovereignty to a global entity that can coordinate and shape\u00a0macroeconomic policies of the central banks of the world&#8217;s largest economies. And to an extent, fiscal and regulatory policy as well. If the G-7 leaders are bold, they will approximate such meta-policy activity this weekend to get us over this crisis but we will be back to square one for the next crisis in two or five or ten years down the road.<\/p>\n<p>I am uncomfortable, make that opposed, to any Brussels style global authority. Given the predisposition of much of the world politically, representatives of such an authority will prefer to misuse their authority to micromanage to achieve social and political engineering rather than stick to a narrow mission of tending to\u00a0macroeconomic trends. Yet the fact that the sum of the global capitalist system now exceeds the ability of any part, even the U.S., to control it,\u00a0requires a mechanism be put into place to transnationally leverage macroeconomic policies for maximum systemic benefit during hard times.<\/p>\n<p>Better to set up a simple WTO like structure today for a &#8220;coordination council&#8221; that rules natonal monetary policies in or out of international consensus against a clear rule-set yardstick, than to wait until some emergency creates a crisis large enough where we wake up some day with vast portions of our sovereignty ceded to unaccountable international bureaucrats. Sort of a &#8220;Concert of Economies&#8221; that preserves the flexibility and freedom of\u00a0of capitalism and national sovereignty\u00a0instead of instituting\u00a0a global GOSPLAN.<\/p>\n<p>The crisis points to creating a\u00a0level playing field in terms of financial rule-sets\u00a0with agreed upon &#8220;circuit-breakers&#8221; are put into place now. This requires various states yield on all sorts of national comparative advantages for the benefit of the system as a whole. Something that goes against every career instinct of\u00a0a politician.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The scale of the economic crisis has begin to sink in to the point where leaders of the G-8\/G-20 have begin to realize that everyone\u00a0dwelling on the welfare of\u00a0parochial, politically favored, financial interests ( Goldman Sachs in the case of the U.S.) is not going to get the world out of this crisis. Coordination of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[360,332,456],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2897","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-21st-century","category-economics","category-globalization"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2897","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2897"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2897\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2897"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2897"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2897"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}