{"id":2977,"date":"2009-01-02T15:48:02","date_gmt":"2009-01-02T15:48:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=2977"},"modified":"2009-01-02T15:48:02","modified_gmt":"2009-01-02T15:48:02","slug":"socionomic-futurism-at-futurejacked","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=2977","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;Socionomic&#8221; Futurism at Futurejacked"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Flagg707<\/strong> has a speculative post at<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/futurejacked.blogspot.com\/\"> <strong>Futurejacked<\/strong> <\/a>that I think most readers hear will find stimulating and fun to read:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/futurejacked.blogspot.com\/2008\/12\/socionomic-trendspotting-for-2009.html\">Socionomic Trendspotting for 2009<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>A Continued Surge in Magical Thinking<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Socionomics posits that during waves of positive social mood, <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.socionomics.net\/archive\/magical.aspx\"><strong>&#8220;practical thinking&#8221; is dominant over &#8220;magical thinking,&#8221;<\/strong><\/a><strong> and a belief in science and reason dominates. During waves of negative social mood the magical thinking, with its distrust (if not hatred of) reason and science rises to a dominant position in the mass social &#8220;mind.&#8221;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>My personal interpretation of this is that magical thinking actually begins to manifest during <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.socionomics.net\/whatis\/elliott-wave-principle.aspx#wave\"><strong>the fifth wave<\/strong><\/a><strong> of a postive mood surge &#8211; where faith and hope outstrips a reasoned evaluation of the economic &#8220;fundamentals&#8221; and continues into the waves of negative mood. Either way, we can expect a lot of anti-science and anti-rationality types of behavior to explode in politics and in university settings. Hopefully it won&#8217;t go as negative as it did in Kampuchea, but we are dealing with a downturn of historic proportions, so keep in mind that herds of humans are capable of staying irrational for very, very long periods of time.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>&#8230;.Expect a Wave of Independence Movements<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>I thought this would be a more dominant theme during 2008 than it turned out to be, with only Kosovo shearing off from Serbia and, at the very end of the year, <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.stratfor.com\/analysis\/20081219_ukraine_ruthenians_and_russian_resurgence\"><strong>the Ruthenians declaring independence in Ukraine<\/strong><\/a><strong>. As Abkhazia and Ossetia were already de facto independent from Georgia, I won&#8217;t count them. I doubt 2009 will be as calm.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Socionomics holds that during times of negative mood factionialism increases and the various &#8220;tribes&#8221; that make up a country turn towards their subgroup and away from the idea of an inclusive and tolerant society. This is the stuff of independence movements, of civil wars, of <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/globalguerrillas.typepad.com\/globalguerrillas\/2008\/09\/onward-to-a-hol.html\"><strong>hollow states<\/strong><\/a><strong> and of a return to <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/globalguerrillas.typepad.com\/globalguerrillas\/2005\/01\/primary_loyalti.html\"><strong>primary loyalties<\/strong><\/a><strong>.<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Read the rest <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/futurejacked.blogspot.com\/2008\/12\/socionomic-trendspotting-for-2009.html\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Flagg707 has a speculative post at Futurejacked that I think most readers hear will find stimulating and fun to read: Socionomic Trendspotting for 2009 A Continued Surge in Magical Thinking Socionomics posits that during waves of positive social mood, &#8220;practical thinking&#8221; is dominant over &#8220;magical thinking,&#8221; and a belief in science and reason dominates. During [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[570,360,361,215,525,68,37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2977","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-570","category-21st-century","category-america","category-culture","category-epistemology","category-fun","category-futurism"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2977","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2977"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2977\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2977"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2977"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2977"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}