{"id":3107,"date":"2009-05-18T02:51:50","date_gmt":"2009-05-18T02:51:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=3107"},"modified":"2009-05-18T02:55:46","modified_gmt":"2009-05-18T02:55:46","slug":"recommended-reading-59","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=3107","title":{"rendered":"Recommended Reading"},"content":{"rendered":"

Top Billing! NYT –<\/em>\u00a0David Kilcullen and Andrew Exum<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0“Death From Above, Outrage Down Below<\/a>”<\/p>\n

This was very interesting but the argument in the op-ed contains an important\u00a0logical disconnect.<\/p>\n

Exum and Kilcullen are certainly correct that technology, in this case the predator and global hawk drone strikes being used to kill al Qaida<\/strong> and Taliban<\/strong> targets in Pakistan, are no substitute for a coherent\u00a0strategy. They are also correct that there are, in Exum’s words at Abu Muqawama<\/strong>\u00a0“second and third order effects”on Pakistan from using predators and their end-goal of enlisting local allies is where the U.S. needs to go to be successful.\u00a0That said,\u00a0we should also note that\u00a0there are also second and third order effects on al Qaida from these strikes\u00a0– namely that\u00a0AQ cannot function operationally as a transnational terrorist group in the catastrophic terrorism business. Optimum counter-terrorism\u00a0objectives are not always going to be congruent with optimum COIN situations and in the Afghapakistan border region, they appear to be in significant\u00a0conflict.<\/p>\n

The logical disconnect in the op-ed is in that to get to that desirable strategic\u00a0end-state described by Kilcullen and Exum, the U.S. needs to be able to send uniformed people to operate in FATA, which Islamabad adamantly refuses to entertain. Frankly, the Pakistani generals prefer the predators buzzing around to U.S. troops walking around. “Local allies” that are armed, funded and trained by the U.S. military are likely to make short work of the ISI’s radical Islamist militia proteges, which is why Kilcullen wants to get to that policy destination and why Islamabad is unlikely to ever agree except under the greatest duress and in completely\u00a0bad faith.\u00a0Our “local allies” are also likely to become a legacy headache for Pakistan once Bin Laden<\/strong> is swinging from a tree in Waziristan and we are long gone.<\/p>\n

While Exum and Kilcullen are correct to point out the costs, it is hard for me to say that predators should be taken off the table in Pakistan\u00a0until COIN can be put on the table.\u00a0Not sure how we get to that point from here, either but they deserve credit for trying to get the strategic ball rolling in that direction.<\/p>\n

Hat tip SWJ Blog<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n

CTLab –\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong>The Occidental\u00a0Guerrilla<\/a><\/p>\n

Review of David Kilcullen’s<\/strong> book, The Accidental Guerrilla<\/em><\/strong><\/a>.<\/p>\n

David Ronfeldt –<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0Organizational forms compared: my evolving TIMN table vs. other analysts’ tables<\/a><\/p>\n

Very useful for those looking for org models.<\/p>\n

Selil blog –<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0How to wage cyber warfare: A primer, Part 1<\/a>, How to wage cyber warfare: Barriers to entry, Part 2<\/a>,\u00a0 <\/strong>How to wage cyber warfare: Puzzle pieces, Part 3<\/a>, How to wage cyber warfare: The technology and structure, Part 4<\/a><\/p>\n

Professor Liles has a book in progress, I believe.<\/p>\n

Neurolearning Blog –<\/strong>\u00a0Different Brain Networks for Novelty-Induced vs. Voluntary Attention<\/a><\/p>\n

We are wired to see the new We learn to see the routine.<\/p>\n

Kings of War<\/strong> – Hybrid war v postmodern\u00a0war<\/a><\/p>\n

Argues that we are looking at war from the wrong angle.<\/p>\n

Smartmobs<\/strong> – Publication: Identity in the Age of Cloud Computing<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n

“The best report on cloud computing ever published”. E-book format.<\/p>\n

That’s it.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Top Billing! NYT –\u00a0David Kilcullen and Andrew Exum\u00a0\u00a0“Death From Above, Outrage Down Below” This was very interesting but the argument in the op-ed contains an important\u00a0logical disconnect. Exum and Kilcullen are certainly correct that technology, in this case the predator and global hawk drone strikes being used to kill al Qaida and Taliban targets in […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3107","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-recommended-reading"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3107","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3107"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3107\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3107"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3107"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3107"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}