{"id":45443,"date":"2015-07-14T21:25:17","date_gmt":"2015-07-14T21:25:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=45443"},"modified":"2015-07-14T21:25:17","modified_gmt":"2015-07-14T21:25:17","slug":"iran-the-deal-does-this-but-what-will-others-do","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=45443","title":{"rendered":"Iran: the deal does this, but what will others do?"},"content":{"rendered":"

[ by Charles Cameron<\/strong> — requesting suggestions re “second order nuclear effects” from Israel & the Saudis ]
\n.<\/p>\n

I’ve been watching one aspect of developing current events closely — Islamic apocalyptic jihad, for short — and claim no special expertise in many other realms, but on the contrary, consider myself too inexpert even to hazard much in the way of commentary. Knowing what I know about what I know, and having seen how often the media and punditry get it wrong, I am deeply suspicious of anything I might tend to think on the basis of media readings in other areas.<\/p>\n

So: I am ignorant about the Iranian nuclear deal.<\/strong><\/p>\n

I tend to read Cheryl Rofer<\/strong><\/a> for insight into the tecnhical nuclear issues, and Tim Furnish<\/strong><\/a> on Iranian Mahdism as it might or might not intersect with the desire for nukes. But that’s about the limit for me.<\/p>\n

So: here’s what nags away at me<\/strong>, in the words of a commenter at ChicagoBoyz<\/a>:<\/p>\n

the end result might not be nuclear weapons [for Iran] .. It might be a nuclear preemptive strike by Israel and Saudi Arabia<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

I’m ignorant. Does the deal, or any other diplomatic venture, address the issue of consequences other than those the deal itself provides for Iran and for her co-signers? What will the Israelis, what will the Saudis in fact do?<\/p>\n

With Putin<\/strong> already rattling implicitly nuclear sabres, do we now have a second potential nuclear front, a threat coming not “from” Iran but “at” it?<\/p>\n

Please set me straight, from left, from right, from military and intelligence perspectives, any which way you can.<\/p>\n

**<\/p>\n

Second order effects <\/strong>are always important and often overlooked. When they’re nuclear<\/strong>, that could be highly problematic, not to say volcanic.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

[ by Charles Cameron — requesting suggestions re “second order nuclear effects” from Israel & the Saudis ] . I’ve been watching one aspect of developing current events closely — Islamic apocalyptic jihad, for short — and claim no special expertise in many other realms, but on the contrary, consider myself too inexpert even to […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[526,896,635,270,90,684,108,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45443","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-charles-cameron","category-dr-timothy-furnish","category-israel","category-national-security","category-nuclear","category-nuclear-diner","category-rofer","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45443","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=45443"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45443\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45451,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45443\/revisions\/45451"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=45443"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=45443"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=45443"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}