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[Mark Safranski<\/strong> \/ “zen<\/strong>“]<\/p>\n “…for me alone my strong-greaved companions excepted the ram when the sheep were sheared, and I sacrificed him on the sands to Zeus, dark-clouded son of Kronos, lord over all, and burned him the thighs; but he was not moved by my offerings, but still was pondering on a way how all my strong-benched ships should be destroyed and all my eager companions.”<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0– Odysseus<\/strong><\/p>\n “As to what happened next, it is possible to maintain that the hand of heaven was involved, and also possible to say that when men are desperate no one can stand up to them.”<\/b><\/em><\/p>\n \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 -Xenophon<\/strong><\/p>\n “The degree of force that must be used against the enemy depends on the scale of political demands on either side”<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0– Carl von Clausewitz<\/strong><\/p>\n The<\/strong> Peloponnesian War<\/strong> <\/a>was the first, great\u00a0“civil war of Western civilization”\u2014fought long before\u00a0that embryonic civilization would\u00a0fully cohere\u00a0to endure; but it would not be the last. Far from it.<\/p>\n Like most\u00a0conflicts of this kind, the nominal pretext for the Spartans<\/strong> and Athenians<\/strong> and their respective allies to go to war was a small thing, but the costs for the belligerents would prove to be very great. Nor was this unforeseen, another truism of such terrible wars. Sir Edward Grey<\/strong>, for example, was no outlier among the well informed classes, if not the people,\u00a0on the eve of the First World War<\/strong> when he declared “The lamps are going out all over Europe, we shall not see them lit again in our life-time<\/em>“.\u00a0Europe’s elites, like Jean de Bloch<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0had been saying such things to each other with every crisis since Fashoda<\/a><\/strong> and the gruesome slaughter of the Russo-Japanese War <\/strong>confirmed\u00a0the consequences of modern battle between even third rate industrial powers. Yet in August 1914, the Entente and the Triple Alliance\u00a0enthusiastically took the plunge into the abyss anyway just as the Spartans and the Athenians had done\u00a02300 years earlier.<\/p>\n Why? When a polity dances on the edge of ruin why does it not come to its senses back away? Or at least wager lesser stakes\u00a0upon a throw of the iron dice? Cheryl Rofer<\/strong> has discussed the effects of Pericles’ “motivated reasoning”<\/a> in smoothing the path of Athens to war; Joe Byerly<\/strong> identified the increased power of “groupthink”<\/a> in the Spartan Assembly under the direction of Sthenelaidas the Ephor<\/a>\u00a0<\/strong>while\u00a0Dr. Kaurin <\/strong>established the importance of rhetoric<\/a> in the cadence of\u00a0classical Greek thought.\u00a0Finally, Dr. Lacey<\/strong> illuminated the Athenian\u00a0strategic miscalculation\u00a0of Corcyra’s<\/strong> true strength. These points all have resonance, but I think another element is in play; one which Thucydides was at great pains in his history to draw as a lesson about the political deficiencies of the radical democracy that flourished in Athens after the death of Pericles: the failure to pursue a war policy of strategic restraint.<\/p>\n The truth is that the strategic value of restraint is often perceived by statesmen\u00a0as Thucydides recorded, but the will to stay that course is seldom unwavering and this folly applied just as much to oligarchic Sparta as democratic Athens. Among the Greek leaders, both Pericles<\/strong> of Athens and his guest-friend<\/a> Archidamus<\/strong>, king of Sparta,\u00a0foresaw the dangers\u00a0were war to break out\u00a0and counseled after their own fashion,\u00a0caution and restraint to their impetuous countrymen. Neither were successful.<\/p>\n Addressing the Assembly and the Gerousia, Archidamus gave not only a realistic political assessment but good strategic advice to be slow to take up arms against Athens and prepare carefully\u00a0to fight the war on future\u00a0terms more favorable to Sparta’s strengths and resources:<\/p>\n This, the war on which you are now debating, would be one of the greatest magnitude, on a sober consideration of the matter. In a struggle with Peloponnesians and neighbours our strength is of the same character, and it is possible to move swiftly on the different points. But a struggle with a people who live in a distant land, who have also an extraordinary familiarity with the sea, and who are in the highest state of preparation in every other department; with wealth private and public, with ships, and horses, and heavy infantry, and a population such as no one other Hellenic place can equal, and lastly a number of tributary allies\u2014what can justify us in rashly beginning such a struggle? wherein is our trust that we should rush on it unprepared? Is it in our ships? There we are inferior; while if we are to practise and become a match for them, time must intervene. Is it in our money? There we have a far greater deficiency. We neither have it in our treasury, nor are we ready to contribute it from our private funds. Confidence might possibly be felt in our superiority in heavy infantry and population, which will enable us to invade and devastate their lands. But the Athenians have plenty of other land in their empire, and can import what they want by sea. Again, if we are to attempt an insurrection of their allies, these will have to be supported with a fleet, most of them being islanders. What then is to be our war? For unless we can either beat them at sea, or deprive them of the revenues which feed their navy, we shall meet with little but disaster. Meanwhile our honour will be pledged to keeping on, particularly if it be the opinion that we began the quarrel. For let us never be elated by the fatal hope of the war being quickly ended by the devastation of their lands. I fear rather that we may leave it as a legacy to our children; so improbable is it that the Athenian spirit will be the slave of their land, or Athenian experience be cowed by war.<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n This was eminently practical advice for a land power whose strengths were\u00a0optimized by\u00a0short conflicts of a few day’s march away and that were\u00a0based on traditional Greek hoplite\u00a0phalanx warfare where battles were swiftly won or lost by the breaking of the enemy formation. The ability of Sparta to sustain a war of any duration depended heavily on the uncertain loyalty and continued agricultural productivity of a resentful and rebellious Helot population; a fact that made distant operations by the Spartan army either risky or required them to leave ample military forces at home. Fighting against walled and fortified cities in an era when the arts of siege warfare were extremely primitive\u00a0eroded most of Sparta’s qualitative edge in heavy infantry and fighting a war primarily upon the seas could not even be executed at the time of the Assembly vote. Sparta’s triremes were few and in poor condition and no\u00a0Spartan Themistocles\u00a0was on hand to fill the office of Navarch<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0or supervise the construction of a seaworthy battle-fleet, even if such a thing could be afforded.\u00a0Facing Athens,\u00a0the greatest maritime empire of the day and\u00a0secured by\u00a0its\u00a0Long Walls, Sparta’s strategic position could only have improved with time diligently spent on diplomatic, fiscal\u00a0and naval preparations.<\/p>\n As other participants have already discussed, the Spartan Assembly failed to heed Archidamus and proceeded on the assurances of Sthenelaidas the Ephor,\u00a0that while empty, fit the “laconic” rhetorical style much\u00a0favored by the Lacedaemonians. While Sthenelaidas may have carried the day, it was Archidamus who was proved correct when the Spartan invasion and devastation of Attica failed to yield any strategic benefits. The Athenians remained behind their walls, their fleet ruled the wine-dark seas and harried the Peloponnesians at will. More to the point, by a stratagem of Cleon<\/strong><\/a>, the naval power of Athens\u00a0later compelled the Spartans to come to terms (at least for a time) or see an irreplaceable part of their army trapped on an islet perish of starvation. The plague struck Athens a far\u00a0greater blow than any Spartan phalanx marching uselessly back and forth to Attica. Without the decimation of Athens by the plague and the\u00a0extreme folly of the Athenians in undertaking the\u00a0Sicilian Expedition<\/a><\/strong>, it is difficult to see how cash-poor Sparta could have prevailed.<\/p>\n As other panelists have correctly noted, Pericles approached the prospect of war with greater elan vital\u00a0than did Archidamus. This is true. Pericles oratory typically radiated confidence in all things Athenian. But to stop there would be to shortchange the difficulty of Pericles’ real accomplishment. Stopping motions for unwise or humiliating concessions to Sparta was not difficult. It was highly unlikely the Athenians would have voted to re-accept ancient Spartan hegemony or abandon their new empire simply to avoid war. In Athenian eyes, the Spartans were oathbreakers for refusing arbitration as their treaty demanded and arrogant and insulting blusterers whose power in Hellas no longer matched their words.<\/p>\n No, what Pericles managed to\u00a0persuade the\u00a0Athenians to abandon their instinctive\u00a0rush to\u00a0a decisive battle of traditional\u00a0phalanx warfare for a\u00a0novel\u00a0strategy of limited warfare\u00a0in a long war\u00a0that played to the very Athenian strengths that Archidamus most feared. As Pericles concluded:<\/p>\n \u2026This, I think, is a tolerably fair account of the position of the Peloponnesians; that of Athens is free from the defects that I have criticized in them, and has other advantages of its own, which they can show nothing to equal. If they march against our country we will sail against theirs, and it will then be found that the desolation of the whole of Attica is not the same as that of even a fraction of Peloponnese; for they will not be able to supply the deficiency except by a battle, while we have plenty of land both on the islands and the continent. The rule of the sea is indeed a great matter. Consider for a moment. Suppose that we were islanders; can you conceive a more impregnable position? Well, this in future should, as far as possible, be our conception of our position. Dismissing all thought of our land and houses, we must vigilantly guard the sea and the city. No irritation that we may feel for the former must provoke us to a battle with the numerical superiority of the Peloponnesians. A victory would only be succeeded by another battle against the same superiority: a reverse involves the loss of our allies, the source of our strength, who will not remain quiet a day after we become unable to march against them. We must cry not over the loss of houses and land but of men’s lives; since houses and land do not gain men, but men them. And if I had thought that I could persuade you, I would have bid you go out and lay them waste with your own hands, and show the Peloponnesians that this at any rate will not make you submit.<\/strong><\/p>\n I have many other reasons to hope for a favourable issue, if you can consent not to combine schemes of fresh conquest with the conduct of the war, and will abstain from wilfully involving yourselves in other dangers; indeed, I am more afraid of our own blunders than of the enemy’s devices.<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n Pericles, it must be said, offered at best an incomplete strategy of exhaustion\u2014to stretch the economic resources of poorer Sparta and its political will to the breaking point from attrition and frustration. There was no\u00a0method for Athens to “compel Sparta to do its will” in the vision of Pericles and bring the war to a favorable political conclusion; instead, it relied on Spartan leaders realizing the futility of the efforts and giving up the war. Pericles\u00a0might have suggested investing Athenian\u00a0resources in\u00a0aiding another helot revolt to further increase pressure on Sparta but he did not. Overall,\u00a0Pericles\u00a0imposed an extremely conservative strategy of pursuing war with great restraint and calculated force; a plan\u00a0designed to wisely\u00a0husband Athenian resources and fighting capacity\u2014but a politically unsatisfying one\u00a0as it flouted Greek conceptions of heroism and honor. For this reason, among others\u00a0including the untimely death of its author, the Athenian strategy failed.<\/p>\n It was however more of a strategy than what the Spartans could bring to bear.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" [Mark Safranski \/ “zen“] “…for me alone my strong-greaved companions excepted the ram when the sheep were sheared, and I sacrificed him on the sands to Zeus, dark-clouded son of Kronos, lord over all, and burned him the thighs; but he was not moved by my offerings, but still was pondering on a way how […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1404,1432],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53062","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-thucydides-roundtable","category-trt-book-i"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53062","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=53062"}],"version-history":[{"count":20,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53062\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":53309,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53062\/revisions\/53309"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=53062"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=53062"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=53062"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}