{"id":65882,"date":"2019-08-19T18:30:11","date_gmt":"2019-08-19T18:30:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=65882"},"modified":"2019-08-19T18:30:11","modified_gmt":"2019-08-19T18:30:11","slug":"city-analogues-and-climate-change-2019-2050","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=65882","title":{"rendered":"City analogues and climate change 2019-2050"},"content":{"rendered":"

[ by Charles Cameron<\/strong> — pretty sure there will be black swans between here and 2050 ]
\n.<\/p>\n

We’re beginning to see visual expressions of the implications of climate change that can perhaps help shift our awareness — comparing London, for instance, with Barcelona:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

The climate in Barcelona (right) isn’t always a good thing – the city suffered a severe drought in 2008<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

**<\/p>\n

The thing is, Barcelona’s weather isn’t exactly desirable in all respects:<\/p>\n

London could suffer from the type of extreme drought that hit Barcelona in 2008 – when it was forced to import drinking water from France at a cost of \u00a320 million.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

And London in 2050 experiencing weather conditions analogous to those of Barcelona today is a projection based on a 2? rise in temperatures globally: that’s considered “actually quite optimistic, imagining a future where action has been taken to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.”<\/p>\n

Ouch.<\/p>\n

Here’s one professor’s comment on the report:<\/p>\n

The University of Reading’s Professor Mike Lockwood warned about the damage that could be done to infrastructure.<\/p>\n

“Bringing Barcelona’s climate to London sounds like it could be a good thing – if you don’t suffer from asthma or have a heart condition, that is – except London clay shrinks and is brittle if it gets too dry and then swells and expands when very wet.<\/p>\n

“As ever, there is destructive and unforeseen devil in the details of climate change.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

**<\/p>\n

The study, published in the journal PLOS One, suggests summers and winters in Europe will get warmer, with average increases of 3.5C and 4.7C respectively.<\/p>\n

It’s the equivalent to a city shifting 620 miles (1,000km) further south – with those furthest away from the equator being most affected.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Southern California weather moves to Northern CA, Northern CA weather becomes the weather inj Northern Oregon and Washington, and on up to Canada and the once frozen north..<\/p>\n

And real estate values will shift accordingly.<\/p>\n

And transnational, climate driven migration patterns will emerge<\/strong>: US into Canada, and oh boy, Mexico into the US?<\/p>\n

**<\/p>\n

Well, analogues are pretty close cousins to what I’ve called DoubleQuotes<\/strong>, and the visual example above of London and Barcelona is joined in the BBC article I’ve been quoting from by twoi more examples:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Edinburgh could look very different by 2050<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

and:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

People say Melbourne can experience four seasons in one day – something people in Leeds might be used to<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

— and since the authors of the study, Understanding climate change from a global analysis of city analogues<\/a>, “found that 77% of future cities are very likely to experience a climate that is closer to that of another existing city than to its own current climate.”<\/p>\n

Since they examined “520 major cities of the world,” roughly 400 cities would have analogue cities, climate-wise, which I suspect means 200 would experience shifts to 200 other cities, though heaven knows, the Venn diagram might show quite a few overlaps, giving us strings like “Edinburgh will be like Paris will be like Marrakesh will be like nothing we’ve ever seen”<\/p>\n

**<\/p>\n

DoubleQuotes<\/strong> all. Analogues. duels and duets, climate-counter-climate, city-counter-city, point-counter-point..<\/p>\n

But see climate predictions, and how black swans will almost certainly distort them<\/a>, and my related poem about Mecca in 2050, Mourning the lost Ka\u2019aba<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

[ by Charles Cameron — pretty sure there will be black swans between here and 2050 ] . We’re beginning to see visual expressions of the implications of climate change that can perhaps help shift our awareness — comparing London, for instance, with Barcelona: The climate in Barcelona (right) isn’t always a good thing – […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1861,1952,1387,12,677,1953,53,1402,526,1112,627,52,793,25,1728,1870,1451,1207,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-65882","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-1861","category-1952","category-analogical","category-analogy","category-australia","category-bbc","category-britain","category-california","category-charles-cameron","category-climate","category-doublequotes","category-france","category-global-warming","category-horizontal-thinking","category-london","category-paris","category-scots","category-spain","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65882","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=65882"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65882\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":65904,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65882\/revisions\/65904"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=65882"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=65882"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=65882"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}