{"id":68332,"date":"2021-06-11T21:29:20","date_gmt":"2021-06-11T21:29:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=68332"},"modified":"2021-06-11T21:34:18","modified_gmt":"2021-06-11T21:34:18","slug":"guest-post-recommended-readings-real-and-imagined-for-military-leaders-part-ii-timothy-r-furnish-phd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=68332","title":{"rendered":"Guest Post: Recommended readings, real and imagined for Military Leaders\u2014Part II. Timothy R. Furnish, PhD"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Zen<\/strong> here \u2013 today we continue a series by <strong>Dr. Timothy R. Furnish<\/strong>, a longtime friend of ZP blog. Timothy Furnish is an Army vet and former civilian consultant to Special Operations Command with a PhD is in Islamic history. He\u2019s written five books and runs the website\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/occidentaljihadist.com\/\"><strong>Occidental Jihadist<\/strong><\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/th.bing.com\/th\/id\/R8546820ee580a8cdb3a9c1ebd11a4daa?rik=4fwMklQJCQU1Ow&amp;riu=http%3a%2f%2fredonline.cdnds.net%2fmain%2fthumbs%2f25788%2fstack_of_books.jpg&amp;ehk=xwtWWiDiDhhxV8yXIhXFgeNFvZ4ETt83uVe2km2jabI%3d&amp;risl=&amp;pid=ImgRaw\" alt=\"See the source image\" width=\"600\" height=\"400\" \/><\/p>\n<p><em><strong><b>Pournelle\u2019s \u201cFuture History\u201d Setting and Politics<\/b><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>by <strong>Dr. Timothy R. Furnish<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Forty-seven years ago Larry Niven and Jerry Pournelle published <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/The_Mote_in_God%27s_Eye\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Mote in God\u2019s Eye<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It\u2019s not about religion, but about humanity\u2019s first contact with aliens in the early 31<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">st<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> century. (I consider it one of the three greatest sci-fi novels ever\u2014along with Frank Herbert\u2019s <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Dune<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A Canticle for Leibowitz<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> by Walter M. Miller, Jr.) A sequel by the same authors, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/The_Gripping_Hand\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Gripping Hand<\/span><\/i><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, came out in 1993. Since then, some 22 volumes have been published dealing with that universe\u2019s millennium-long backstory. The books are <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Hard_science_fiction\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201chard\u201d science fiction<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2014that is, in the genre that strives for scientific accuracy and avoids mysticism, magic, and the like. (<\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Star Trek <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">is usually classified as \u201chard,\u201d <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Star <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Wars as soft\u2014if not downright squishy.) They could furthermore be classified as <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Military_science_fiction\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cmilitary\u201d sci-fi<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, which speaks for itself.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/chronology.org\/pournelle\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A website<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> with info on the stories and novels, as well as the Secondary \u201cWorld\u201d (more properly, universe) itself, is complete up through 2018\u2014although another volume came out in March, 2020 (with even more to come, according to series chief <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.hostigos.com\/news.php\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">John F. Carr<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, with whom I\u2019ve been in contact). Many writers have contributed, although the heaviest hitters have been Pournelle (before his death in 2017), the aforementioned, and prolific, Carr, and S.M. Stirling (author of the superb <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Dies the Fire <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">and its many \u201cEmberverse\u201d sequels). Larry Niven, the original co-author, largely parted ways with the series after the two seminal novels. But Pournelle\u2014whose doctorate was in political science\u2014had a great deal to do with shaping what has come to be known as his \u201cFuture History.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In brief, this <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/chronology.org\/pournelle\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">alternative history<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> starts with the USSR surviving and joining with the USA in the 1990s to create the \u201cCoDominium:\u201d joint Soviet-American rule of the planet, carried out by the Grand Senate composed of American and Soviet politicians. CoDominium military forces, notably a Space Navy and Marines, are created. In the early 21<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">st<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> century an instantaneous interstellar drive is invented and by 2020 colonies are founded outside our solar system.\u00a0 Before the century is up, there are at least 70 of them, many established by various countries on Earth, and\/or by separatist and religious groups. The most important are Sparta, St. Ekaterina and Sauron. The first was founded by American professors who set up a dual monarchy with representative government. The second is Russian more than Soviet and eventually allies with Sparta. The last is run by \u201cEnglish separatists from Quebec and South African white expatriates\u201d who soon embark on a program of genetic engineering to create a master race. By the beginning of the 22<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">nd<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> century, the US and USSR break their alliance and engage in nuclear war on Earth\u2014making the stage of human activity the former colonies.\u00a0 There are, arguably, four crucial aspects to this Future History. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">First, although interstellar travel is possible, it has drawbacks. The Alderson Drive can only move ships between star systems, and is useless within one. There is no \u201cwarp drive\u201d or ability to travel even close to light speed. \u201cStarships,\u201d whether commercial or military, take weeks or months to move within extrasolar systems in order to reach the \u201cAlderson Point,\u201d which is a \u201ctramline\u201d to another system. They then travel there instantaneously, but must repeat the slow process to reach the planets within the destination system. Ships do have powerful lasers, and nuclear weapons, but they fight each other at sub-light speeds. And most importantly in terms of military tactics, at least for the first few centuries of this history, armed forces that can be moved instantaneously between star systems still have to fight as infantry with rifles, artillery and the like on distant planets.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Second, from the early 21<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">st<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to early 31<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">st<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> centuries, there are no alien foes. All of the battles and wars take place between humans, albeit spread across hundreds of light-years. In this regard Pournelle\u2019s universe resembles that of Frank Herbert\u2019s <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Dune<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, in which <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">homo sapiens <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">is the sole sentient measure. Man\u2019s inhumanity to Man is spread to the stars, but is thus that much more fathomable.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Third, this Future History is cyclical. Dr. Pournelle was known to be a\u00a0 fan of C. Northcote Parkinson<\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Parkinson\u2019s primary thesis (besides <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Parkinson's_law\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">his famous law<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">) is that history \u201creveals\u2026a sequence in which one form of rule replaces another, each in turn achieving not perfection but decay\u201d (<\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Evolution of Political Thought<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, p. 9). Indeed, \u201cthere is no historical reason for supposing that our present systems of governance are other than quite temporary expedients.\u201d The Western arrogance that \u201cthe development of political institutions has progressed steadily from the days of Lycurgus or Solon down to the present day\u201d with \u201cthe ultimate achievement being British Parliamentary Democracy or perhaps the American Way of Life\u201d is just that that (<\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ibid.<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, p. 8).\u00a0 In sum, drawing on anthropology as well as history, Parkinson sees the human cycle of political systems running thusly: monarchy, oligarchy, democracy, dictatorship. The final then institutionalizes into monarchy, and the process starts all over again. There are variations on each of the four types (see Parkinson, p. 12, drawing on Aristotle), but <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">in toto <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">those are adequate. Across space (literally!) and time, humans try each of these\u2014sometimes more than one, simultaneously, on the same planet.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fourth, the series is rife with Great Power conflict. The CoDominium initially serves as a hegemon, not an imperial power\u2014the single most powerful polity, but unable to directly rule all the colonies. (<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/historynewsnetwork.org\/article\/1237\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">See here<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> for a succinct analysis of hegemony v. empire.) It\u2019s largely a unipolar interstellar system, then. After the nuclear war on Earth, the system becomes multipolar, with various colonies\u2014now independent planets\u2014vying for the upper hand via their own fleets and military forces (both planetary and mercenary). Eventually Sparta emerges as the next hegemon, thanks in main to the fact that the bulk of the CoDominium Navy swears allegiance to the Spartan throne. Over the course of 150 years, Sparta then creates an Empire by consolidating\u2014both peacefully and violently\u2014most of the other human-settled planets into its rule. <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pax Spartanica<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> then lasts until the 27<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">th<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> century, when the First Empire falls mainly after exhausting itself in defeating the Nazi-like, genetically-engineered Saurons\u2014during which human-occupied space was bipolar in conflict terms. Not until the early 30<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">th<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> century is the Second Empire (once again ruled by Sparta), proclaimed, consisting of over 200 planets, all human; that is, until 3017.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">[Up next: how these political divisions played out in various wars, on various planets and moons, across the centuries.]<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Zen here \u2013 today we continue a series by Dr. Timothy R. Furnish, a longtime friend of ZP blog. Timothy Furnish is an Army vet and former civilian consultant to Special Operations Command with a PhD is in Islamic history. He\u2019s written five books and runs the website\u00a0Occidental Jihadist. Pournelle\u2019s \u201cFuture History\u201d Setting and Politics [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[420,133,39,599],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68332","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-authors","category-book","category-military","category-science-fiction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68332","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=68332"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68332\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":68335,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68332\/revisions\/68335"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=68332"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=68332"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=68332"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}