{"id":9410,"date":"2012-06-05T19:01:55","date_gmt":"2012-06-05T19:01:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=9410"},"modified":"2012-06-05T19:21:02","modified_gmt":"2012-06-05T19:21:02","slug":"introducing-myself-to-ethos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=9410","title":{"rendered":"Introducing myself to ETHOS"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[ by <strong>Charles Cameron<\/strong> &#8212; games and complexity, Joseph Kony, think tanks, need for a new analytic institution ]<br \/>\n.<\/p>\n<p>I just introduced myself to the <a href=\"http:\/\/ethosvo.org\">Ethos Network<\/a> &#8212; their motto: <em>Collaboration, Trust, Moderation<\/em> &#8212; a group of mainly UK-based mil, biz &#038; creativ types a good friend pointed me to, partly responding to an earlier conversation about Kony on their platform, partly laying out my own interests&#8230; <\/p>\n<p>And with a suggestion thrown in there that <strong><font color=\"blue\">we could really use a new analytic setup of some sort<\/font><\/strong>, a point I&#8217;ll return to.<\/p>\n<p>Here, then, is my introduction as posted there:<\/p>\n<p><center>*****************************************************************************<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Hello:<\/p>\n<p>A few words of introduction are probably in order, before I dive in&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>You might say I live at the intersection of complexity and games, and\u00a0work at the intersection of religion and violence.<\/p>\n<p>1.<\/p>\n<p>My interest in complexity comes from a sense that the problems facing us contains many diverse and conflicting tensions to be resolved in some sort of <strong>continuous, shifting balance<\/strong>, and that we as humans face them with a complexity of our own, the complexity of our individual tensions, preferences, desires, interrests, hopes, fears, <em>assumptions, resistances<\/em> and so forth. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p>So both within each one of us, and in groups, we have a situation where many points of view, many voices should if possible be heard, taken into account, adjusted for.<\/p>\n<p>As social beings, we need to let the voices of other stakeholders, other constituencies, other points of view be heard, so that we can move towards win-win balances &#8212; I won&#8217;t call them solutions &#8212; wherever possible.<\/p>\n<p>As humans, we need to let some of our own quieter, slower, deeper voices emerge &#8212; and that&#8217;s the purpose of inward listening, meditation, taking a break, the Sabbath, sleeping on it, relaxing, reverie &#8212; to bring out some of the voices that add insight, to give the <em>aha!<\/em>\u00a0time to develop and space to show itself&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>And in both cases, it&#8217;s the <strong>voices that go unheard<\/strong>, the parts of the web of tension unattended to, which can come back and bite us.<\/p>\n<p>So&#8230; two things. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p>One: \u00a0I am interested in developing ways to <strong>map conversations that are many voiced<\/strong> &#8212; literally &#8220;polyphonic&#8221; &#8212; such that, as with the music of Bach and Handel (and hey, Dylan and the Band), multiple voices can be heard at once, held in a shifting tension, with conflict arising and moving into resolution as they do when Glenn Gould plays Bach or Eric Clapton jams with\u00a0Billy<i>\u00a0<\/i>Preston&#8230; \u00a0I have games I&#8217;ve designed that do this&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Two: I am interested in what we&#8217;re not paying attention to, to our <strong>blind spots<\/strong>, to the undertows of our own and other cultures, to the stuff we easily dismiss.<\/p>\n<p>Which brings me to&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>2.<\/p>\n<p>I am specifically interested in the contribution of religion, of <strong>religious emotion<\/strong>, to contemporary violence.<\/p>\n<p>Religious violence is obviously not the only aspect of violence &#8212; but <em>materiel<\/em> is easier to quantify than <em>morale<\/em>, and all too often we miss religious signals in others (and in those on our own side) which turn out to have been powerful drivers of conflict.<\/p>\n<p>Joseph Kony is the example of &#8220;religious violence&#8221; that I&#8217;ve seen mentioned here, and given my interest in jihad &#8212; I&#8217;d been tracking jihadist groups since before the turn of the millennium &#8212; he popped up on my screen and claimed some real estate in my attention in May 2005, when\u00a0I downloaded DFID Media Fellow Maya Deighton&#8217;s\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20050411032801\/http:\/\/www.developments.org.uk\/data\/01\/worldv1.htm\" target=\"_blank\">report in the then-DFID journal, <em>Developments<\/em><\/a>, in which she wrote:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The rebels&#8217; leader is a religious fanatic called Joseph Kony, who hides out for most of the time in southern Sudan.<\/p>\n<p>Kony manages to combine a heady blend of occultism, born-again Christianity, and most recently, a much-proclaimed conversion to Islam, with his campaign of terror and child abduction.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>At about the same time, I dowloaded a Chalcedon Foundation file containing Lee Duigon&#8217;s piece, &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20060826081654\/http:\/\/www.chalcedon.edu\/articles\/article.php?ArticleID=10\" target=\"_blank\">Uganda\u2019s War with \u2018the Devil<\/a>\u2019&#8221; &#8212; Chalcedon is the late &#8220;dominionist&#8221; theologian Roussas John Rushdoony&#8217;s outfit, and preaches the imposition of the full Old Testament law of Moses, stoning of adulterers included, in the United States (and ultimately the world) &#8212; hence my interest.<\/p>\n<p>In any case, it would have been Kony&#8217;s &#8220;much-proclaimed conversion to Islam&#8221; that likely caught my interest in Deighton&#8217;s article, and it may well have been Duignon&#8217;s piece that first brought Kony to my attention.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>I have tried to keep a wary eye out for news of Kony and the LRA ever since, and for my own purposes, the most informative materials that I have run across in the interim are the notes taken by LTC Richard Skow<strong>,<\/strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/documents.nytimes.com\/religious-beliefs-of-joseph-konys-lords-resistance-army\" target=\"_blank\">published by the New York Times in December 2010<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>I have blogged at least twice on Kony, once after Rush Limbaugh, an American media presence on the right, <a href=\"http:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=4402\" target=\"_blank\">described Kony and the LRA approvingly<\/a>\u00a0as &#8220;Christians \u2026 fighting the Muslims&#8221;, and the other time to note (among other things) <a href=\"http:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=4414\" target=\"_blank\">Kony&#8217;s connection with Alice Lakwena<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>But Kony&#8217;s not the point, and indeed Kony&#8217;s wider context, with its multiple drivers in terms of resources, warlords, moral issues, the whole shebang, isn&#8217;t the point either.<\/p>\n<p>The point is that I work a seam that&#8217;s very little noticed by western analysts, and that runs through the heart of pretty much every insurgency and terrorist movement in recent memory.<\/p>\n<p>The LTTE, for what it&#8217;s worth, included.<\/p>\n<p>3.<\/p>\n<p>Al-Qaida&#8217;s the prime example of course &#8212; but when Omam Hammami&#8217;s made his video presentation just last week, how many people noticed that he defined jihad as an act of worship? \u00a0And who had an inkling of what that meant?<\/p>\n<p>That was the topic of my <a href=\"http:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=9334\" target=\"_blank\">most recent blog-post on Zenpundit<\/a>, but it&#8217;s just the most recent instance of a trend that&#8217;s both significant and significantly under-appreciated. \u00a0It&#8217;s in one of our blind spots.<\/p>\n<p>There are times when I&#8217;m hugely thankful for the work of people like Nelly Lahoud at the\u00a0<span>Combating Terrorism Center (CTC) at West Point &#8212; her <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ctc.usma.edu\/posts\/beware-of-imitators-al-qaida-through-the-lens-of-its-confidential-secretary\" target=\"_blank\">preliminary report<\/a>\u00a0on the &#8220;history of jihad&#8221; written by bin Laden&#8217;s personal secretary came out today &#8212; or Will McCants at the Center for Naval Analyses. \u00a0But there are other times when I&#8217;m equally frustrated, knowing how many bright scholarly voices with valuable insights to offer go unheard.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The think tanks are pretty much all heavily politicized: twitter and blogs are the go to places to keep up with cutting edge thinking &#8212; and still, just today, a rising star like Aaron Zelin can tweet about another, in this case Gregory Johnsen:<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Is it me or has\u00a0<a class=\" twitter-atreply pretty-link\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/#!\/gregorydjohnsen\" rel=\"nofollow\"><s>@<\/s><b>gregorydjohnsen<\/b><\/a>\u00a0predicted everything re: AQAP\/Yemen\/US policy the past 4-5 yrs? Yet no1 in gov is listening to him. Stupid.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span>&#8212; and pretty much everyone who knows about Yemen agrees&#8230; \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>This, too, w<\/span>hile hugely knowledgeable people like <a href=\"http:\/\/intelwire.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">JM Berger of Intelwire<\/a>\u00a0are in all likelihood too independent-minded and truth-driven to fit into one of those politicized tanks! \u00a0A place for bright, oddball, curious analysts to work without the pressures of group think or authority is very much needed.<\/p>\n<p>But I rant! \u00a0And to get back to my own area of special interest &#8211; who&#8217;s paying attention to the Khorasan motif, to the idea that Afghanistan is where the Mahdi&#8217;s army will come from, to the significance of black flags (sometimes Mahdist signals, sometimes &#8220;just a cigar&#8221;), to the end game in Jerusalem &#8212; and for that matter to the notion, likewise found in hadith and widely proclaimed on populist Pakistani videos, that there&#8217;s a prong of attack &#8212; the <span>Ghazwah-e-Hind\u00a0<\/span>&#8212; that sweeps from Pakistan down into India, <a href=\"http:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=4460\" target=\"_blank\">until the victorious flag of Pakistan flies over the Red Fort<\/a>?<\/p>\n<p>4.<\/p>\n<p>Well, I&#8217;ve pointed you towards my own areas of interest, and I do want to indicate that they are extremely focused &#8212; that in my view they constitute one important and often overlooked strand in a much larger weave, a strand that needs to be braided along with many others into a larger picture that I make no claim to see.<\/p>\n<p>I am frankly ignorant about what doesn&#8217;t interest me, and frankly a very quick study in what piques my curiosity. \u00a0And I learn &#8212; and forget &#8212; more with each passing day.<\/p>\n<p>Any place where Oink&#8217;s friends gather grabs my attention. I already see a number of friends here, Greg Esau, Richard Hodkinson, Peter Rothman, John \u00a0Kellden, Bryan Alexander, Gregory McNamee&#8230;\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>So.<\/p>\n<p>How can I be of service?<\/p>\n<p><center>*****************************************************************************<\/center><\/p>\n<p>So that&#8217;s what I wrote for Ethos &#8212; and one of my analytic buddies already sent me a comment:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>There is def a vacuum that needs to be filled that intersects relevant research with a level of independence for writers. Something between academia and a think tank. <\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I think that&#8217;s an important issue &#8212; but it shouldn&#8217;t remain at the issue level, it should be acted on.<\/p>\n<p>Any ideas about that?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ by Charles Cameron &#8212; games and complexity, Joseph Kony, think tanks, need for a new analytic institution ] . I just introduced myself to the Ethos Network &#8212; their motto: Collaboration, Trust, Moderation &#8212; a group of mainly UK-based mil, biz &#038; creativ types a good friend pointed me to, partly responding to an [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[329,321,327,9,529,681,393,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9410","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-africa","category-blogosphere","category-complex-systems","category-complexity","category-games","category-think-tanks","category-twitter","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9410","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9410"}],"version-history":[{"count":13,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9410\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9424,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9410\/revisions\/9424"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9410"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9410"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9410"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}