{"id":985,"date":"2004-12-24T04:40:00","date_gmt":"2004-12-24T04:40:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=985"},"modified":"2004-12-24T04:40:00","modified_gmt":"2004-12-24T04:40:00","slug":"985","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/?p=985","title":{"rendered":""},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>ZENPUNDIT&#8217;S BATTING AVERAGE AS A PROPHET<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Last January, <a href=\"http:\/\/zenpundit.blogspot.com\/2004\/01\/predictions-for-2004-we-will-see-how.html\">I boldly made a number of predictions for 2004<\/a>. Let&#8217;s take a trip down memory lane and see how I did, shall we ?:<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>&#8221; Al Qaida will switch from attempting catastrophic acts of terrorism against the American homeland in the short term to the assassination of high profile, non-American, &#8221; soft targets &#8221; with symbolic resonance. My short list would include the UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan, the Patriarch of the Russian Orthodox Church, Grand Ayatollah Sistani, Musharraf of Pakistan, Muhammed VI of Morocco, the Pope, a member of the British Royal Family and any minister of the &#8221; New Europe &#8221; governments that supported the Iraq war. &#8220;<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Hmm. Al Qaida did not manage to assassinate anyone of any international prominence this year, though several attempts were made to wack Musharraf, none of them got off the ground.  A number of officials <a href=\"http:\/\/www.chinadaily.com.cn\/english\/doc\/2004-06\/12\/content_338912.htm\">from Iraq&#8217;s interim government were assassinated <\/a>this year but the gunmen could have easily been ex-Baathists, Sadrists or hired criminals as easily as Zaqawri-al Qaida terrorists.<\/p>\n<p>Al Qaida did turn away from hitting the American homeland and toward Europe on 3\/11 with the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/story\/0,2933,113970,00.html\">massive train bombing in Madrid <\/a>that helped replace pro-American Prime Minister Aznar with anti-American Leftist Zapatero.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>&#8220;President Bush will be reelected, winning 52-54 % of the popular vote. Either Colin Powell or Donald Rumsfeld will resign from the cabinet but not both. If Rumsfeld resigns it will only be because he was forced out.&#8221;<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Boy, I sure called that one !<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>&#8220;There will be a boom to replace Dick Cheney with Condi Rice on the GOP ticket which will not happen unless the Vice-President suffers a serious health problem.&#8221;<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>There were <a href=\"http:\/\/slate.msn.com\/id\/2099233\/\">some rumblings <\/a>prior to the Vice-Presidential debates about Cheney being a drag on the ticket. Rice, who was under fire herself at the time, was not mentioned <a href=\"http:\/\/hnn.us\/articles\/6783.html\">but Rudy Giuliani and John McCain were <\/a>&#8211; neither of whom are favorites of the Bush II inner circle. This said more about the speculators in question than it did about Bush or Cheney.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>&#8220;American forces in Iraq will draw down for a potential intervention in Pakistan whether or not Musharraf survives the year. American special operatives will capture or kill a major Saudi financier of al Qaida terrorism, perhaps with Saudi complicity.&#8221;<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Dead wrong here.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>&#8220;A major al Qaida leader will be captured or killed by American forces.&#8221;<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In response to the beheading of Paul Johnson, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.smh.com.au\/articles\/2004\/06\/19\/1087595774784.html?from=storylhs&#038;oneclick=true\">Saudi security almost immediately killed the al Qaida chief in Saudi Arabia, Abdulaziz al-Muqrin<\/a>. This was almost assuredly in response to heavy American pressure to &#8221; do something&#8221;. The <a href=\"http:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/TRANSCRIPTS\/0211\/23\/smn.00.html\">operational leader of the USS Cole bombing.<\/a><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/TRANSCRIPTS\/0211\/23\/smn.00.html\">Abd al-Rahim al-Nashiri was also captured.<\/a>  Not an Osama bin Laden but not small fry either.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>&#8220;The bioethics of implanting computer chips and components into human beings will become a media hot-button issue.&#8221;<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>I was too far ahead of the curve on <a href=\"http:\/\/www.transhumanism.org\/index.php\/WTA\/index\/\">this one<\/a>. It&#8217;s still on the horizon in terms of being debated primarily in the <a href=\"http:\/\/reason.com\/debate\/eh-debate1.shtml\">internet media and blogosphere<\/a> it has yet to hit the MSM in a big way. I&#8217;ll recycle it for 2005.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>&#8220;Hard core leftists will challenge Tony Blair&#8217;s leadership of the Labor Party at the first opportunity, most likely after a scandal of some kind, be resoundingly crushed and will subsequently bolt the party.&#8221;<\/em><\/strong><br \/>\n<br \/><strong><em><\/em><\/strong><br \/>\n<br \/>Dead wrong again but I think I might recycle this one too.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ZENPUNDIT&#8217;S BATTING AVERAGE AS A PROPHET Last January, I boldly made a number of predictions for 2004. Let&#8217;s take a trip down memory lane and see how I did, shall we ?: &#8221; Al Qaida will switch from attempting catastrophic acts of terrorism against the American homeland in the short term to the assassination of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-985","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/985","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=985"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/985\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=985"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=985"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zenpundit.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=985"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}