Every day is Ashura, every place is Kerbala
and in response, the Ayatollah’s use of the imagery of the “red line”:
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If the Long War Journal piece shows us an aspect of the current situation, this stunning video offers us a window into the passions such events are poised to arouse.
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joey:
May 29th, 2013 at 11:59 am
Let us hope we are not witnessing the start of a political and religious reordering of the map in the middle east, and all that goes with it.
The west has managed to destroy much of the secular politics of the middle east, now that void is being filled with religion and jihadist politics.
Mr. X:
May 30th, 2013 at 12:23 am
Oceania backs Sunni, Eurasia backs Shi’a.
Grurray:
May 30th, 2013 at 12:52 am
It was the West that established the secular politics of the middle east. Isn’t it appropriate that now we should destroy it?
Mr. X:
May 30th, 2013 at 3:34 am
Greetings Senator McCain. Would you like the heart steak or the lung New York strip today with your tea?
Charles Cameron:
May 30th, 2013 at 5:02 am
My first instinct is to flinch at that, Mr X — but then again, I think of Jonathan Swift and his Modest Proposal that the Irish might perhaps solve their problems with both famine and overpopulation by eating their younger children, of an age to be tender and delicious:
I doubt I’ll ever write in quite that manner myself — but the temptation is there, and every so often I can taste it.
Grurray:
May 30th, 2013 at 1:50 pm
Ad hominem is, more often than not, a signal that one is on the right track, so allow me to expand on that thought (cont.)
joey:
May 30th, 2013 at 7:27 pm
“Oceania backs Sunni, Eurasia backs Shi’a. ”
I laughed when I read that!
Assad could pass for a good goldstein.
” It was the West that established the secular politics of the middle east. Isn’t it appropriate that now we should destroy it?”
Er no. At this stage all our moves are losing moves. Its just figuring out what sucks least.
The comical thing is everyone in the region hates us, our allies hate us, our enemies hate us, we are the useful idiots, scream human rights, watch them jump. Not that anyone gives a damn about human rights.
Mineral resources are the only things in play for the west, the rest is window dressing.
Obama knows we have no real interests in Syria we don’t need there gas or oil, he’s struggling to keep us out. Good God, could you imagine if McCain had been elected, we dodged a bullet there.
larrydunbar:
May 31st, 2013 at 12:46 am
““Oceania backs Sunni, Eurasia backs Shi’a. ”
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I laughed when I read that! ”
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So you’re saying that as the US pivots out of Afghanistan it will find itself in an area,(Mr. X’s so-called “Oceania”) that backs Sunni, and if the US had decided to pivot the other direction (towards Mr. X’s so-called Eurasia) the US would have found itself pivoting towards people more like Assad? If that is the case, I can see that would have been a losing move 🙂
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That is an interesting thought though, if that was what you meant.
Grurray:
May 31st, 2013 at 1:44 am
“At this stage all our moves are losing moves.”
Victory is achieved by those who make the fewest mistakes. It’s been a race to the bottom, but luckily the race doesn’t always go to the swift. I don’t have access to insider knowledge or privileged details. I can only see the cumulative picture. Whatever the intentions, the big picture remains the same.
“Its just figuring out what sucks least.”
I don’t mean to minimize the human toll. It’s been a terrible disaster in that respect of course.
But the moves that were made were the moves that events dictated. This isn’t rationalizing or pragmatism. We didn’t have much of a plan and still don’t.
So of course the greater macro environment shapes our actions.
And that environment was/is an unwinding.
“our allies hate us”
With friends like these…
Have you seen Europe? Saudis running out of easy oil? Egypt imploding?
They all need us more than we need them at this point.
The only one with any upper hand is Turkey. How do they feel about us?
zen:
May 31st, 2013 at 3:55 am
“Victory is achieved by those who make the fewest mistakes.”.
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Sometimes. Stalin by the mistake rule should have ended his days as a severed head on an SS pike outside a burning Moscow. Instead he lived to urinate on Hitler’s charred bones, as one apocryphal tale goes.
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Some mistakes are forgivable. Others are irrevocable. A good strategist will make many forgivable mistakes because they are taking reasonable risks in order to make large gains but make no irrevocable mistakes that came from taking reckless risks with unaffordable losses.
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I don’t think our rulers recognize the difference. Or their calculus extends no further than how any action affects their career
Grurray:
May 31st, 2013 at 1:23 pm
Yeah you’re right – that should be major mistakes. Lots of smaller mistakes are an unfortunate necessity. That’s where anti-fragility comes in.