On Mapping the Varieties of Risk

August 6th, 2018 by Charles Cameron

So does anyonbe make ratcheted graps of how one risk slips to another?

soli

**

>And my suggestion, if nobody has such a mapping scheme that I could give a look-see to, is that we should think about how to make such a mapping systen=m available.

Thank you for reading, considering, responding to question or suggestion.

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Posted in bach, blood, Charles Cameron, death, graphical thinking, have a heart, health care, map, mathematics, music, personal, prediction, prophecy, risk, Uncategorized | 2 comments

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  1. Ken Cowan:

    August 9th, 2018 at 2:15 am

    Dear Charles,
    I read your post the other day, the one about how to represent risk in a visual or graphic format. My own thoughts have been contending with the question as well, How much time is left? Your approach is so much more clinical and intelligent. I’m sure the most I can do is suggest other sources to explore.
    There is probably some kind of actuarial system within the UK national health system, since it isn’t profit-driven like the US, that may be less skewed. Maybe the Germans have a way of figuring such things. And Japan probably keeps records and makes charts, too.
    Perhaps some of the more famous health centers & schools? I imagine composing a form and letter of introduction addressed to such authorities & agencies might yield some interesting results.
    The intriguing side of your speculation is the factoring of lifestyle choices, diet & exercise, residence/habitat, vocation, relationships, et al. There is general agreement that animal companions are a health benefit, for example. And job satisfaction has also been cited as contributing to longevity. But I can’t imagine how such factors could be weighted. And of course, there are the genetic factors to consider….
    Your inclusion of geopolitical factors and ‘acts of God’ may also be calculable variables, depending on where you live and your socio-economic status. But, how should they be weighted?
    You’re likely correct, imagining a ‘ratcheted’ visual representation, something that relies on some mathematical theorems like Thom’s catastrophe theory.
    That’s pretty much what occurs to me, in response to what you wrote.
    From the heart, take care and be well. Our ground time has always been too brief. As long as it lasts, your friend & lover of the poetry we’ve lived,
    ken

  2. Charles Cameron:

    August 9th, 2018 at 7:00 pm

    So good to hear from you, Kenny. I spent the afternoon with Ron Geaves a couple off day ago– wonderful.
    .
    I’m particularly interested in the ratcheted display of natsec / geopol risk, Kenny, as far as the grand scale goes, and on the health end, the ratcheted display of individual prognoses. Effectively, that’s individual at both scales — individuals like Trump, Xi, Khomeini / Khamenei, and Jong-Un, &c. I’m lowballing statistics..

    Doesn’t mean I’m right, of course — and I’m heartened to know you’re grappling with a similar question.