A superb post with wonderful links on the theorist of Islamist terrorism, al-Suri who is that movement’s John Arquilla, William Lind and Louis Beam rolled into one. He probably would have made a fine blogger had he not also been – well – a sociopathic nihilist.
Recently, TDAXP began a reification of the GW theories that Shane joins in, rejecting linearity, sequence or manifestations of GW as descriptive of a strategic level conflict. I’ve never been comfortable with interpreting GW as a linear, historical, theory with ironclad universal predictive qualities ( “Everywhere there is the decline of the State”). I’ve always preferred it as a taxonomy that, as a strategic theory that like “Deterrence”, has useful applications in analysis and scenario planning.
As I have never felt the need to defend the 4GW school as revealed scripture, I see no urgent need to junk the 4GW terminology in favor of a new set of neologisms either. That said, read Shane’s post anyway.
The Sino-American geopolitical security relationship is transitional and symbiotic.
An excellent review of Kurweillian futurism.
Two posts with subjects of great interest to readers here.
Some support for the argument of Nassim Nicholas Taleb in The Black Swan.
A nice commentary on the challenges of 2GW during the First World War and the costs of mechanistic, attritional, warfare.
Cool! And possibly revealing!