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A BRIEF WORD ON IOWA

I’m pretty amused at the deflation of the Howard Dean balloon. I’ve found most of his supporters posting on various comment boards to be a fairly obnoxious and humorless bunch so if they are wallowing in gloom tonight it might take their self-righteous quotient down a few notches.

On the other hand, as a caucus the Iowa vote bears little resemblance to a normal general election and has little, if any, predictive value. Dean’s financial operation still makes him the one to beat in the next few primaries and after Iowa he desperately needs a win in New Hampshire or a dead heat tie to prevent a media feeding frenzy from nibbling his campaign to bits. As they had annointed Dean the nominee without much in the way of evidence the media is apt to now turn on him for not living up to their predictions.

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