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Archive for May, 2004

Sunday, May 9th, 2004

RUMSFELD IS TOO VALUABLE TO LOSE

Bush administration critics have used the horrors of Abu Ghraib to demand the resignation of Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld. For most of them, their real beef with Rumsfeld is not human rights violations committed under the auspices of a rear echelon unit commander but the war itself. They want Rumsfeld to go primarily to discredit the war so the United States would be forced to resume the defensive, passive, pre-9/11 posture vis-a-vis Islamist terrorism and rogue state dictatorships. If Rumsfeld directly approved a policy of torture then of course he should go but the likelihood of that having been the case is quite marginal. If sporadic criminal actions by military personnel in an organization of the size of the Department of Defense – more than a million people – during wartime is to be the criterion for resignation then the office of the Secretary of Defense is going to need a revolving door.

Rumsfeld is probably going to be ranked with Henry Stimson as one of the most important and influential ” secretary of war” in the last century. Stimson was one of the last to hold the old title and like Rumsfeld held the position twice, serving as an elder statesman and key advisor to a much younger Commander-in-Chief. Stimson, as Geitner Simmons points out, also had his share of military prison camp scandals. Each served during a war that marked a transformative era not just for the United States but for the structure of international relations itself. Henry Stimson successfully helped end Germany’s ambitions to be a global hegemon and saw the start of the bipolar nuclear age. Rumsfeld and America stand at the crux of what could be.

If we prevail in this war against Islamist fascism the result could be a liberal, globalized world anchored in the moment of American unipolarity – values such as individualism, liberal democracy, market capitalism and tolerance could become the common property of mankind. If we fail, it is less likely that the Islamists will ” win ” so much as they will push the world closer to anarchy – failed states spreading chaos and violence like a virus to their neighbors, rich nations sheltering themselves behind protectionist walls and fortified borders, giving up the character of open societies in order to seek ever more restrictive measures to achieve ” Homeland Security”.

We do not need at ” caretaker ” Defense Secretary or some silver-haired senator looking to round out his political career with a cabinet post. We need a tough administrator who knows the turf battles and shell games of the brass. We need a Defense Secretary who can run a war and a revolution in military affairs with the vision to understand that the doctrine and equipment suitable to stand against the Warsaw Pact in 1984 will not provide an answer to al Qaida in 2004. Or the challenges of 2024.

We need Donald Rumsfeld.

Sunday, May 9th, 2004

OPERATION OSIRAK II ?

Reportedly, a major topic of the recent meeting between israeli PM Ariel Sharon and President Bush was an upcoming IDF raid to hit suspect Iranian nuclear sites that may be capable of producing a nuclear bomb in as little as one year. Iranian foot-dragging in talks with the IAEA and other acts of diplomatic intransigence by Teheran combined with an unwillingness of IAEA iadministrators to bring the question of Iranian misdeeds to the frontburner may increase the likelihood of a second Osirak type raid by Israel.

I’ve held out hope for diplomatic and economic pressure succeeding in curtailing Iraninan nuclear proliferation as that country is far more plugged in to the world economy than North Korea or Iraq under UN sanctions. The wily hardline Mullahs, especially Rafsanjani, may be more interested in running out the clock than in reaching a settlement that keeps Iran out of the Nuclear Club. In such circumstances, the short and medium term fall-out would be worth the price of setting Iran’s program back by a decade.

Thursday, May 6th, 2004

ABRAHAM LINCOLN SPEECH STIRS CROWD AFTER 144 YEARS

Go here.

Thursday, May 6th, 2004

TURKMENISTAN COMMITS EDUCATIONAL SUICIDE

Nathan at The Argus has the details. If the dictator had a horse it might become a member of parliament.

Thursday, May 6th, 2004

DENIAL DENIED ?

Ralph Luker of the excellent HNN blog Cliopatria has written a hard-hitting post on the conspiracy of silence surrounding In Denial a book by John Earl Haynes and Harvey Klehr detailing the intellectual collaboration with Soviet Communism of Western scholars, a legacy that continues to this day. Luker takes both sides to task in a post that has already stirred a number of comments.

( hat tip to a Geitner Simmons)


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