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Archive for December, 2004

Thursday, December 2nd, 2004

SUPERB POSTS YOU NEED TO READ

I am so far behind in what I want to blog about and, frankly, engaged in more important writing projects, that the best I can do tonight is recommend some truly thought-provoking pieces from other blogs that are worth your time, in my humble opinion:

On Bernard Lewis:



Collounsbury offers a measured and detailed review of the Hirsh attack on Bernard Lewis

On Ukraine’s stolen election crisis:

Chez Nadezhda, Geitner Simmons, The Argus ( all Ukraine, all the time)

On reviving The Draft:

Jeff Medcalf at Caerdroia

On the social and moral complexities of Democracy:

rinting on the wall and Total Information Awareness and American Future

On Fidel Castro, that Communist bastard:

Diplomad..Part I. and Part II.

Agree or disagree, all are worth reading.

Thursday, December 2nd, 2004

PARADIGMATIC SHIFTS: THEN AND NOW



THEN/OLD/BEFORE/WAS………………….NOW/NEW/AFTER/BECOMING



Bipolar – symmetrical………………………………….Unipolar – asymmetrical

Western Alliance………………………………………..Coalition of the willing

MAD………………………………………………………..Preemption

Superpowers………………………………………………Superempowered Individuals

Bretton Woods-IMF…………………………………….Globalization-WTO

Germany, Russia…………………………………………China, Islamic World

Atlantic World……………………………………………Pacific Rim

East vs. West………………………………………………Core – Gap

Division Conflict………………………………………….Convergence Conflict

Rogue State………………………………………………..Failed State

WWIII………………………………………………………4th Generation Warfare

Communism………………………………………………Islamism

The State…………………………………………………..The Culture

Compartmentalization…………………………………Context

Centripetal………………………………………………..Centrifugal

Totalitarianism………………………………………….Anarchy

Hierarchy………………………………………………….Network

Command………………………………………………….Evolve

Dictatorship……………………………………………….Terror

UN-Irrelevant……………………………………………UN-Obstructive

Either-Or…………………………………………………..Probabilities

Protected Markets………………………………………The Market

Stability…………………………………………………….Liberalization

Power………………………………………………………..Knowledge

Political Religions………………………………………Religious Politics

Geopolitics………………………………………………..Geoeconomics

Regional trading blocs………………………………….Regional currency blocs

The Atom…………………………………………………..The Genome

NATO…………………………………………………………EU

Containment……………………………………………….Connectivity

Wednesday, December 1st, 2004

THE NOMENKLATURA OF DISCONNECTION FACES A CHOICE IN UKRAINE

TM Lutas has correctly identified the oppressive rulers of Gap states not as barriers but Gatekeepers, reaping enormous fortunes by cutting special deals to secretive bad actors in the Core – the Implicit Villains – who want expoitative access to Gap markets and resources. The Gatekeepers of the Gap do have an achilles heel, the corruption and self-interest of their own supporters:

“The West’s most effective tool in pressuring for a recount may be to target individual Ukrainian businessmen, especially those with ties to Yanukovych’s business clan, based in the eastern city of Donetsk, by freezing bank accounts and denying visas. ”

The Gatekeepers need their supporters whom they pay off with a slice of the profits, creating in effect a “ Nomenklatura of Disconnection ” with a vested interest in maintaining the disconnected status quo. The flaw in the scheme is that Nomenklatura – the bullies, thugs and petty bureaucrats who make a despotic system ” work” are themselves ” connected ” to the Core and end up a) valuing the connection that provides them with various goodies and b) awakens in them, when the gravy train is threatened by the erratic behavior of the Gatekeeper, a sense of class interest. They become a group that is separable from the Gatekeeper if the Core can find the right wedge.

Communist Romania’s answer to Dracula at a Party Congress, Nicolae Ceaucescu, was done in by his own Nomenklatura in 1989 who saw which way the wind was blowing. Slobodan Milosevic, the butcher of the Balkans, withstood NATO bombing but not the threat to the ill-gotten assets of his supporters ensconced in Western banks and invested in multinational corporations.

Kuchma and his bloated mafiya stooge are equally vulnerable.

Wednesday, December 1st, 2004

THE NUCLEAR NONSENSE OF MATTHEW YGLESIAS

Marc Shulman of American Future, has been keeping a keen eye on Iran’s nuclear activities but he has taken the time to thoroughly demolish the Matthew Yglesias Cost-Benefit Nuclear Proliferation Theory. Dave Schuyler has related commentary here.

For Matt’s edification let’s take a look-see at what The American Prospect considers to be a more responsible outcome than American military intevention to prevent Iran from going nuclear.

Let’s all breathe a sigh of relief that young Mr. Yglesias is not even within shouting distance of influencing American foreign policy for the forseeable future.

Wednesday, December 1st, 2004

ANOTHER LOST POST

Getting sick of Blogger.


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