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Archive for March, 2005

Saturday, March 12th, 2005

A CONSERVATIVE LAMENTS THE DECLINE OF LIBERALISM

The learned and conservative historian, John Lukacs, had a fine essay in The Chronicle of Higher Education a few months back assessing the cultural costs of Liberalism’s slow political decline and finds that society has been impoverished because without liberalism, democracy becomes mere populism ( Hat tip, RJ Rummel at Democratic Peace ).

Lukacs is an always interesting writer. First, his scholarship is a throwback to the days before the history profession became enamored with trivialities and esoteric niche specialties. He is in his field, broad, deep, in command of the historiography, but not bound by it. Nor is he afraid to put forward unpopular or controversial thoughts. An excerpt:

“When it came to the formation of the democracies of the West, the concepts of liberalism and democracy, while not inseparable, were surely complementary, with the emphasis on the former. Among the founders of the American republic were serious men who were more dubious about democracy than about liberty. They certainly did not believe in — indeed, they feared — populism; populism that, unlike a century ago, has now become (and not only in the United States) the political instrument of “conservatives,” of so-called men of the “Right.” It is significant that in Europe, too, the appeal of the term “liberal” has declined, while “democratic” is the adopted name of a variety of parties, many of them not only antiliberal but also extreme right-wing nationalist.

Yes, democracy is the rule of the majority; but there liberalism must enter. Majority rule must be tempered by the rights of minorities and of individual men and women; but when that temperance is weak, or unenforced, or unpopular, then democracy is nothing else than populism. More precisely: Then it is nationalist populism. It may be that the degeneration of liberal democracy to populism will be the fundamental problem of the future. True, many liberals have contributed to the inflation — the degeneration — of the original meaning of “liberal.” But the acceptance of the word “liberal” as a connotation of something damnable, unhealthy, and odious is to be deplored.”

American liberalism, in my view, never recovered from the crisis of confidence it suffered from the debacle of the Vietnam War. The ” Best and the Brightest”, the Bundy and McNamara type liberals who served JFK and LBJ lost the nerve to stand up to the anti-democratic, anti-American, New Left that savagely damned them for being warmongering racists. An echo of which you can see today when leftist yahoos on the internet castigate moderate liberals like Joe Lieberman as ” Republican Lite” and Hillary Clinton as a ” war criminal “.

With some exceptions, most liberals today do not have the stomach to stand up to the authoritarian, reactionary, Left like the Adolf Berles, Harry Trumans, Arthur Schlesingers, John Kennedys and Hubert Humphreys did of old. It is easier to stand with them against Tom DeLay than to notice that they, as liberals, have little else in common with the apologists for squalid third world dictatorships. It is a bad bargain for liberalism, for the wingnuts add nothing to the alliance other than the disadvantages of extremism but they gain political respectability from their public association with honorable liberals.

It is hard to remember today how dominant liberalism once was as an American creed. Harry Truman, his party split on the Right and Left wings by dissenting factions, still crushed Thomas Dewey who himself was not exactly a conservative. ( Strom Thurmond, the rebel Dixiecrat in 1948, had previously been notorious among rabid segregationists for his relative liberality on
” the Negro question”. Even the Southern racists felt compelled to put forward a “liberal”). After Watergate in 1974 the G.OP. was dangerously close to going the way of the Whigs and Ronald Reagan was then widely viewed as something of a nut, like Goldwater.

Those days are gone.

Friday, March 11th, 2005

HARD TO IMAGINE THAT THERE IS ANYTHING LEFT TO CRACK DOWN ON

North Korea’s lunatic regime, which makes Iran look like a hedonistic disneyland in comparison, is engaged in a ” harsh crackdown” as cross-border connectivity with China is causing the mores within the hardline state to disintegrate, causing a rise in crime and even political dissent. Comparisons of Pyongyang with Bucharest in 1989 when Gorbachev withdrew Soviet support for Ceaucescu’s Stalinist regime are being drawn.

Kim Jong-Il still has his academic apologists in the West and has been reaching out to other, thuggish, anti-American regimes like Syria for support. South Korea’s left-wing ruling party is desperate to prop up the DPRK any way they can, fearing an implosion and costly reunification. Fingers in the dike. What really matters here though is the attitude of China.

East Germany collapsed because its neighbors no longer would help keep Germans locked behind Honecker’s bloody wall. Ceaucescu and his harpy wife met their end before a gleeful firing squad because Moscow renounced the Brezhnev Doctrine. If China’s leaders support Kim’s regime he will continue to muddle through as the Earth’s worst ruler. If Beijing should continue look with indulgence upon goods, information and even political dissent flowing across North Korea’s borders Kim Jong-Il will fall. If not at the hands of his people then by the machinations of his closest collaborators eager to save their own necks.

The question is – does Kim know it ?

Friday, March 11th, 2005

SOME ( crypto)LOGICAL OUTCOMES FOR QUANTUM ENCRYPTION

Scientific American, recently had a fine article on the parameters of the quantum encryption field which is producing ” unbreakable” codes via the principles of Quantum mechanics. For those without a SciAm subscription, who want an explanation of QE, go here.

The big picture good news is that the assurance of security for financial and informational transactions provided by QE will make the establishment and spread of ” Connectivity” in the Gap relatively cheaper by leapfrogging over the problem of decayed or absent infrastructure that plagues most of these countries. “Connecting up ” to Core standards for the fledgling Gap entrepreneur will eventually ( though not today) require only a laptop, a wireless connection and some software but not the building of hundreds of billions of dollars worth of old fashioned telephone systems that many corrupt and dysfunctional regimes seem incapable of providing or maintaining.

The bad news of course, is that all the wrong people will also want to use ” unbreakable” encryption – transnational crime syndicates, rebel groups, narco-traffickers, rogue states and Islamist terrorists. That being the case I can only imagine that the world’s premier intelligence agencies have either tried to establish covert relationships with QE companies like id Quantiqe or MagiQ or to infiltrate them outright in order to have access to the proprietary key technology ( commentary on QE is notably absent from the NSA website).

Since this technology is not ” containable” the only acceptable strategy is to allow relatively cheap but not quite state of the art versions to be commercially available, thus yielding the longitudinal economic benefits but keeping the NSA type SIGINT agencies ahead of the bad guys and discouraging others from pursuing expensive R&D of QE on their own.

Friday, March 11th, 2005

NOT BLOGGERIFIC

Having a terrible time with Blogger today…this is more or less a test before I invest precious time writing. If I lose another post I might throw the computer out the goddamned window.

Thursday, March 10th, 2005

IS EXPORTING SECURITY THE KEYSTONE FOR REBUILDING FAILED STATES?

The Economist has an article on failing and failed states that all but screams ” System Administration Now !”. The article is worth your time to read.

One point that I thought was particularly insightful:

“Lawlessness, it is often argued, creates space for terrorists to operate. This is sometimes true: there are almost certainly al-Qaeda operatives lurking in Somalia and the wilder parts of Pakistan. But the most-cited example, Afghanistan, does not really support this argument. Osama bin Laden used Afghanistan as a base not because it was a failed state, but because its government invited him to.”

Somalia may offer al Qaida operatives freedom from state interference but its total lack of functioning rule-sets make the region a tough place to set up shop on a large scale. Taliban-ruled Afghanistan provided enough order to grow Bin Laden’s network of training camps, safe houses, command and control centers and fortified redoubts – all of which require the uninterrupted flow of food, water, supplies, recruits and information. Somalia can provide none of these things with certainty or regularity.

There is state-sponsored terror like the relationship between Hezbollah and Syria and Iran. There is socially sponsored terror by elements of the Saudi and Pakistani elite in defiance or in tolerance of their respective states. There is also the parasitical relationship enjoyed by al Qaida which grafted onto the larger, ruder, Taliban mass and eventually came to dominate the host movement so thoroughly that Mullah Omar led his group to destruction on Bin Laden’s behalf.

We should be looking for al Qaida’s next likely host.


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