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Saturday, September 16th, 2006

A KIND WORD FOR A GOOD CAUSE

Dr. Demarche alerted me via email about a drive to support Operation Gratitude for the troops overseas this holiday. This very worthy cause brings some cheer and creature comforts to those serving far from home and facing danger during the holidays. There are a number of ways to participate in this program and I encourage you to take a look. I know that I will be getting my workplace involved in this effort.

A Hat Tip to the good Doctor for this timely heads-up.

Friday, September 15th, 2006

BARNETT ON STRATEGY

Trying to post short and sweet today.

Dr. Barnett has two interrelated posts up to which I would like to direct your attention:

“NCW/4GW false dichotomy”

“Only time will tell, but when you add up the signature Cebrowski/OFT items, like Streetfighter, Project Sheriff, Stiletto, etc., they do come off collectively as more SysAdmin than Leviathan, proving IMO my contention that it’s a false dichotomy–this perceived choice between net-centric and fourth-generation warfare”

I agree. There is a lot of heat between advocates of NCW and 4GW, which in my view has a lot to do with interservice budget rivalries moreso than theoretical principles. Both schools of strategy draw from common Boydian roots but the USAF-Navy implementation of NCW uses hyperexpensive, high tech, platforms that often come at the expense of commonsense expenditures for the manpower needs of ground forces. Not that the Army brass is committed to 4GW, or even COIN, but you can’t do either well ( or large scale Leviathan wars) with chronic shortages of troops.

The tempting path of limited regret says SOF can do it all

“Again, fine as a holding strategy, and yes, it plays to all the romantic images of SOF: they dress local, wear their hair longer, act like prima donnas in the chow line, etc. We love our badasses and we give them the toughest f–king jobs, but don’t confuse that romantic, limited-regret approach with a long-term solution. It’s a delaying action and nothing more. Do it too long and you’re basically taking an “Escape from New York” approach to the region in question: containment yes, but no serious effort at integration. You’re simply stabilizing in the traditional way of colonial powers throughout history.

I know that’s counterintuitive. “Isn’t it less colonialistic to go in with the small-footprint SOF, co-opt the local heavies, and then let them rule instead of trying to build something more ‘modern’ that will just generate resistance?”

The reason I have been a longtime reader of Dr. Barnett is that he is one of a very limited number of thinkers who knows the difference between means and ends and analyzes
scenarios throughout the entire scale. A rare quality.

More later today.

Thursday, September 14th, 2006

STATIC

Posting will be erratic for the next few weeks due to heavy professional and personal obligations – I will probably end up posting in bunches followed by some days without any activity. Normal blogging should resume 1, October.

Wednesday, September 13th, 2006

THE RETURN OF THE CREATIVE?

Does anyone out there have a good explanation for the intellectual exhaustion that prevails in our national political class, Left and Right ?

Perusing the Republican National Committee website, the featured issues are tax cuts, tax reform, fiscal restraint (LOL!), expanded oil exploration and nuclear power, education accountability, faith-based initiatives, straddling the fence on immigration reform, Social Security reform and “strong” national security.

With the surprising exception of a section of “faith-based initiatives” that targets counseling prisoners, the official GOP agenda is approximately a quarter century old. Some of it, such as fiscal restraint, amounts to only a ritual nod ( or perhaps, in the case of the Bush administration, an inside joke at the expense of Bob Dole and Herbert Hoover). I liked and still admire Ronald Reagan, but he isn’t on the ballot this year. Or in 2008. Guys, time to live our own history.

If the Republican vision is getting long in the tooth, then the Democratic Party has a platform ready for a decent burial. The Democratic National Committee is evidently marshalling it’s forces to elect Harry Truman, as so much of their current agenda – with the glaring exception of his robust foreign and defense policies – was first said by him. I think if the Democrats used an inverse approach, they might sweep all three branches in 2008 ( Ok, ok, I’ll be serious now).

The most modern aspect of the DNC website is a monomaniacal desire to sort all of us into assigned demographic P.C. castes, something that came of age in the 1970’s. Not sure how they handle crossover cases – how do you count a “young” and now ” disabled” “veteran” who is a “woman” and a “Native American” who is a member of a ” union” as well as a ” rural American” (WTF???) and a member of the “LG & T community”. Jesus H. Christ – maybe she just needs some better job creation policies ? Or decent schools in her neighborhood ?

All sarcasm aside, I see a tremendous cognitive disconnect here by both parties from the emerging conditions of the globalized world and the concerns of those Americans who, while educated and intelligent, have disassociated themselves from politics in a way that bewilders blogospheric hyperpartisans. Alvin Toffler once predicted the coming of a Future Shock. Recently, John Robb linked to a futurist, William Gibson, who argued that we are in the midst of a paradigm shift, the understanding of which eludes the decision makers.

As most of the “key” people in government subcabinet and cabinet positions ( and their partisan Democratic “shadows”) are within a stone’s throw of fifty to over seventy in the case of Donald Rumsfeld ( of whom it must be said, at least came in to office reconsidering the entire status quo), I think that’s a valid argument in terms of aggregate mean perceptions.

Should the major parties fail to generate some new, creative and relevant ideas in a short time horizon – something that is not likely to happen in my view – it means that 2008 is wide open for somebody “outside” the system who can bring both vision and financial wherewithal to the table as an independent candidate. And of the two, the former is far more important because via the internet the vision will attract the financial muscle.

The bipartisan system was lucky in 1992 in that H. Ross Perot did not actually want the job of being president and had little that was substantive to say beyond reducing the budget deficit. He was a flaky, billionaire, protest candidate who was interested mainly selling an old value of republican ( small “r”) civic virtue and stirring up the masses. Perot’s success was but brief.

A true visionary though, one who epitomizes the spirit of the times and moves like one who is three steps ahead, will hit the system like a tsunami.

Tuesday, September 12th, 2006

HOW I OBSERVED 9/11

Today is not the day to make partisan points.

My condolences to all those who lost loved ones or suffered injuries on 9/11 and bled for their country in the mountains of the Hindu Kush and the heat-seared roads of Iraq. The nation has not yet risen to the occasion of your sacrifice but it is fitting and proper that we at least acknowledge our debt.


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