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Archive for June, 2006

Friday, June 16th, 2006

THE NEW FEEL OF GROUP BLOGGING…

Aside from being honored with requests to guest post by such sterling individuals and uber-bloggers as Bruce Kesler, Austin Bay and Chester, I have pretty much stuck to an individualist course in the blogosphere. I have always liked that Zenpundit represents my particular voice even though there have been many, many, times I’ve wished for an extra hand to tackle some important topic.

Well, I intend to keep blogging solo here as energetically ( or slothfully, depending on your point of view) as before, but I am now also part of a group blog -or a “blogject” – Discover the Rules, organized and inspired by “Captain” Critt Jarvis to investigate gaming as a platform for connectivity to the wider world. My esteemed fellow crewmembers include Dan of tdaxp, Sean Meade, Larry Dunbar, Shawn in Tokyo and Sokari Ekine, a diverse and talented team that spans generations, continents and hemispheres.

We are still getting our ” sea legs” under us but stop by, leave your comments, ask your questions and help us discover the rules !

Thursday, June 15th, 2006

THE MOVEMENT TOWARD MODULARITY

A great post by Steve DeAngelis at ERMB, “Globalization and Resilient Enterprises“, neatly explains the cutting edge trend for large organizations that wish to survive and dominate their market or environment. Some excerpts:

“What Palmisano calls “the globally integrated enterprise,” is what I have been calling the “Resilient Enterprise.” Whether you call it a globallly integrated or a resilient enterprise, isn’t as important as the fact that what we are describing is a momentous shift in the global business paradigm — it’s not just a name change. Palmisano continues:

Let me describe this new creature. In a multinational model, companies built local production capacity within key markets, while performing other tasks on a global basis. They did this in response to the rise of protectionism and nationalism that began with the first world war and carried on late into the twentieth century. As an example, American multinationals such as General Motors, Ford and IBM built plants and established local workforce policies in Europe and Asia, but kept research and development and product design principally in the “home country”. The globally integrated enterprise, in contrast, fashions its strategy, management and operations to integrate production – and deliver value to clients – worldwide. That has been made possible by shared technologies and shared business standards, built on top of a global information technology and communications infrastructure. Because new technology and business models are allowing companies to treat their functions and operations as component pieces, companies can pull those pieces apart and put them back together in new combinations, based on judgments about which operations the company wants to excel at and which are best suited to its partners.

The key to this paradigm is the ability to “pull apart” business processes and “put them back together” as needs dictate. Of course, this kind of talk excites me because Enterra Solutions is in the business of enabling globally integrated corporations and turning them into Resilient Enterprises. Tom Barnett and I spend a great deal of our time addressing multinational corporations about this subject. We talk about the need for the next generation Enterprise Architecture, which pulls apart business processes and turns them into automated rules sets that can be recombined as required in the corporate DNA. Because it utilizes a service-oriented architecture and a standards-based business process layer, the next generation Enterprise Architecture enables integration across departments and, as Palmisano notes, across the globe. “

Pulling apart segments of an organization and reassembling them to fit the conditions of a new and different scenario is a description of modularity, a critical principle for “managing complexity” (This capacity, incidentally, also increases organizational resilience by increasing the internal link density of the entity). Ideally, with modularity you want to have an organization where the parts, while able to function independently if need be, achieve net gains in effeciency and parameters of capabilities by integrating into a synergistic network.

If your organization must make decisions in a chaotic, “noisy” environment then modularity offers a significant advantage. Unsurprisingly, with war being the ultimate in disorderly environments, the U.S. Army has begun to experiment with a ” modular” structure though the costs and the execution are proving controversial. The next evolutionary step in organizational modularity will be when the modules of an organization are able to self-organize in terms of reacting to an event without requiring central direction to ” pull them apart”. In other words,
” smart modularity”.

The very acceleration in decision making tempo created by Gobalization’s drive toward a 24/7 world hypereconomy, a dilemna that DeAngelis described as The problem is that the landscape is changing so fast we haven’t figured out how deal with it.“, is going to force large organizations -corporations, states, armies, social movements – to go modular or go the way of the dinosaur.

Wednesday, June 14th, 2006

GOTHS AND VANDALS

Lexington Green of Chicago Boyz noticed that the British Ministry of Defense seems to have an admiral who echos John Robb and Robert Kaplan:

Very Global Guerillas-esque vision — From the British MOD

“Quoting Rear Admiral Chris Parry, head of the “development, concepts and doctrine centre at the Ministry of Defence”, who is “charged with identifying the greatest challenges that will frame national security policy in the future.”

He identified the most dangerous flashpoints by overlaying maps showing the regions most threatened by factors such as agricultural decline, booming youth populations, water shortages, rising sea levels and radical Islam. Parry predicts that as flood or starvation strikes, the most dangerous zones will be Africa, particularly the northern half; most of the Middle East and central Asia as far as northern China; a strip from Nepal to Indonesia; and perhaps eastern China. He pinpoints 2012 to 2018 as the time when the current global power structure is likely to crumble. Rising nations such as China, India, Brazil and Iran will challenge America’s sole superpower status. This will come as “irregular activity” such as terrorism, organised crime and “white companies” of mercenaries burgeon in lawless areas.’

Hmmm. I’d like to see the map. I bet it looks a lot like the Gap.

Meanwhile, the Brits are probably going to be axing one of their planned aircraft carriers. Wise move to ditch a Cold War anachronism — or foolish move, sacrificing a valuable 4GW power-projection platform? I suppose it depends on what the person with the checkbook wants to hear.

The Brits are speculating about (reconfiguring for?) a new Barbarian Invasion. And it sounds kinda plausible.

That concerns me.”

Globalization and immigration are not incompatible with assimilation nor must they result in catastrophic security problems. However when you opt to allow in large numbers of foreigners (U.S., E.U.), lack real border controls (U.S.), discourage assimilation of immigrants by promoting crackpot multiculturalism (U.S., E.U.), encourage the dole instead of employment (E.U.) , make acquiring citizenship nigh impossible (parts of E.U.) then you have to expect to have problems in your immigrant communities, at least on the margin.

Immigration can be reduced, assimilation can be encouraged, Islamist Imams can be prohibited entry or kicked out, inane economic policies that create permanent unemployment can be reversed. Actions can be taken to prevent autocratic kleptocracies from easily exporting their spillover costs from incompetent governance. Captured terrorists can be tried and hanged instead of being given “culturally sensitive” MRE’s.

We have choices. We are not doomed.

UPDATE (LINKS):

DDC STRATEGIC TRENDS ( Hat tip to UK Fan )

The DDC link is worth an extended examination along the lines of the National Intelligence Council’s 2020 Project.

“Beware: the new goths are coming” at Times Online

The Small Wars Council

Modern-day Goths and Vandals threaten the West via cheap flights and the net” at The Australian.

Wednesday, June 14th, 2006

THE KISSINGER ARCHIVE

The National Security Archive has published a 28,000 page collection of formerly top secret “memcons” from Henry Kissinger from the years 1969-1977 and made them available online.

“According to Kissinger biographer and president of the Aspen Institute Walter Isaacson, “Henry Kissinger’s memos of conversation are an amazing, fascinating, and absolutely indispensable resource for understanding his years in power.” Nearly word-for-word records of the meetings, the memcons place the reader in the room with Kissinger and world leaders, and future leaders, including Mao Zedong, Anwar Sadat, Leonid Brezhnev, Georges Pompidou, Richard Nixon, Gerald R. Ford, Donald Rumsfeld, and George H.W. Bush.”

An indispensible gift to historians. I wonder how many books about the Cold War, Vietnam, Nixon and Sino-American relations still in print will end up being quietly revised ?

Monday, June 12th, 2006

RECOMMENDED READING

A burst of uber-blogging !

Dan of tdaxp, fresh from his sojourn in China, discusses culture and evolutionary psychology in his post on “Notes on Summer Reading“.

Dave Schuler of The Glittering Eye laments the end of the Brandeis Book Sale ( the Chicago institution that allowed me, back in the day, to build a sizable personal library for pennies on the dollar).

Colonel Austin Bay on “Bolton:”no grand bargain” with Iran

Dr. Lubos Motl on “Some philosophy: consciousness“.

James McCormick at Chicago Boyz reviews Kurzweil’s The Singularity is Near.

At DNI, A. Scott Crawford on “Regarding “Leadership for the Fourth Generation: Preparing Leaders to Out-Think Our New Enemy”,by Capt Robert Kozloski, USMC

Kingdaddy at Arms and Influence asks why the Democrats have”Nothing to say“.

Marc Schulman at American Future highlights some satirical mockery of the MSM.

Simon asks ” How well has China governed Hong Kong ?”

Blogroll Addendum:

New to the blogroll…..

Catholicgauze

KurzweilAI.net

Secrecy News

Rightwing Nuthouse

Discover The Rules

GroupIntel Blog

Check’em out !


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