Wikistrat’s Syrian Scenario
From Thomas P.M. Barnett….
Syrian Regime Stability in Question – New Simulation at Wikistrat
….Wikistrat is launching yet another simulation in a series of collaborative simulations. Following the “Turkey’s Rise” and “Death of Kim Jong Il” simulations, we are now exploring the various scenarios, impacts and policy options given the sensitive situation in Syria.
Some of the questions we ask ourselves in this interactive experience are:
- How will the protests expected unfold? What would be the Tipping Point?
- What would be the implications of a failure to remove Assad from office?
- How can this affect the Radical Axis (Iran, North Korea) vs. the Moderate Axis?
- What does instability in Syria mean for Israel?
- How should the US respond to the current events in Syria?
- Should the Arab World stand by president Assad, or support the protesters?
If you are a topic expert on Syria and wish to participate, contact us here.
Scenarios Explored:
To begin with, 5 generic scenarios, looking at how the protests may unfold, were mapped and are being developed by the expert community. More scenarios will be added as the simulation grows. Each scenario is examined through its regional and global implications, the risks and opportunities it possesses and its assessed probability. Analysts then shift to checking how the events impact the interests of various powers (US, Israel, Iran, Lebanon and more), and what policy options these actors can adopt to tackle the developments in Syria.
Subscribe to Wikistrat and participate here.