Infinity Journal

Military consultant and ardent Clausewitzian, Wilf Owen contacted me today to alert me to the launch of Infinity Journal, “a peer-review electronic journalzine dedicated to the study and discussion of strategy “:

Infinity Journal views strategy as the use of any or all instruments of power to secure political objectives. IJ is concerned mainly – though not exclusively – with the use of force. Strategy must both pursue policy objectives and be viable via tactics. Beyond that there are no sacred cows within the pages of the Infinity Journal.

Critically, and beyond doubt, is the fact that the practice and application of strategy has life and death outcomes for people living in the world today. The fate of nations and peoples still rests in the realm of strategy and as such, it is a vitally important area of study.

Infinity Journal aims to make the discussion of strategy accessible to the widest possible audience, because today strategy is widely misunderstood not only by the layman but also by students, senior soldiers and politicians. Therefore, we aim to keep rigid language and complexity to minimum and comprehensible language and simplicity to a maximum. 

Wilf has an impressive line-up of current and future issue contributors including TX Hammes, Martin van Creveld, John Mackinlay, Colin Gray and many other strategists, soldiers, academics and “students of war” who share a deep interest in strategy. 

An excerpt, from Col. TX Hammes in the current issue of Infinity Journal, available online (registration is free!):

Assumptions – A Fatal Oversight

….In short, in every plan there will be key factors that are unknown to the planners. For instance, we can’t know for certain how a population will react to a U.S. invasion or how much of the international development assistance promised at a conference will actually be delivered. However, to continue planning, the planners must make an educated guess – an assumption – about such key unknowns. While some may see this as a bureaucratic process of little value, recent events show assumptions are central to all planning. For instance, General Tommy Franks assumed the Iraqi government would remain in place after we removed Saddam. Thus Iraqis would deal with the problems of getting their nation back on its feet after the war. And because they would, the United States could invade with a much smaller force than that recommended by the previous CentCom Commander, General Anthony Zinni. In contrast, Zinni assumed the government would collapse and he would need large number of U.S. forces (380,000) to provide security and services.[v] This single, unexamined assumption dramatically altered the war plan.

Check it out.

  1. Fred Leland:

    Zen, Infinity looks like a very nice site and the first volume, is outstanding.

  2. Larry Dunbar:

    "For instance, General Tommy Franks assumed the Iraqi government would remain in place after we removed Saddam." WTF, kind of re-writing history, aren’t we? "we can’t know for certain how a population will react to a U.S. invasion "Aaaa…, I think we can, now, if they are Islamic and Arab. They get annoyed.

  3. zen:

    Hi Larry,
    .
    In fairness, Larry, all occupied populations get annoyed. The Germans and Japanese did not love us and they certainly loved the Russians, whose Red Army was a rape and pillage machine, even less. The Germans and Japanese knew though, they were fortunate to be treated with any mercy after their atrocious war crimes and total defeat. The difference is in treating an occupied population as "liberated" or "enemy" – the Iraqis and Afghans were not considered to be enemy populations and they were not subjected to the kind of brutal martial law the Allies imposed on Germany

  4. Fabius Maximus:

    "In short, in every plan there will be key factors that are unknown to the planners. For instance, we can’t know for certain how a population will react to a U.S. invasion …"

    Are you sure this wasn’t from The Onion?

  5. zen:

    Hi FM,
    .
    The Panamanians welcomed the American overthrow of Noriega when, given historic Latin American feelings toward US intervention, riots might have been a more probable response. If we overstayed though, goodwill would have turned to ashes.

  6. Chris C:

    Thanks for the heads up on this, looks like fascinating stuff. Yet another one for the ever increasing blog roll