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Thursday, August 2nd, 2007

ALL HAIL ZENPUNDIT I., EMPEROR OF GREENLAND

A New Power Is Rising

In the spirit of Russia’s recent and entirely specious claim to the sea floor of the Arctic Ocean , I would like to formally announce my claim to the imperial crown of Greenland as well as subsidiary overlordship over Baffin Island. Once the grateful natives and polar wildlife acclaim my benevolent, absentee, rule of the Greenlandic Empire, I will get about the business of issuing postage stamps, selling foreign ship registries and writing a few, slightly shady, bank secrecy laws.

Sure, Denmark already has de jure sovereignty over Greenland and they still have some kind of quaint, Scandivanian, bicycle-riding, monarchy rattling around Copenhagen and, technically, my blog is not yet considered a sovereign power, but what the hell ? The rule book has been thrown out! I don’t even think you need to be a nation-state anymore – call it a virtual, fourth generation, imperium. Plus, the chances of a punitive military expedition from Denmark reaching the Chicago area are relatively low. It’s not even that great that they’d make it to Greenland.

On a more serious note, the Russian claim to the Arctic may be complete nonsense in legal terms but the strategic energy policy behind the outrageous territorial grab it is not. It makes good sense for Russia to attempt maximize it’s future share of a tightening global oil and gas market as a way of boosting it’s geopolitical and economic influence. Without making too much of it in terms of noise, Washington needs to firmly rebuff Russia’s claim because any success will set off a scramble of imitators and splendid little wars across the globe between third and fourth tier powers. Or worse, larger powers like China with extensive but quiet claims of their own might begin to press them with greater vigor.

The world has enough headaches without re-starting the 19th century.

Friday, July 20th, 2007

KOMSOMOL WITHOUT THE COMMUNISM

Recruiting for the next “rent-a-riot” to disrupt anti-Putin demonstrations. Man, are they just going through the motions here. Sad.

Hat tip to Dr. Von.

Saturday, June 2nd, 2007

RUSSIAN ROULETTE

The major media have taken note of the poor state of Russian-American relations in the past week and the increasingly dark cast that Putin’s siloviki regime has taken at home and abroad. However, neither condition is exactly new. On the one hand, American policy toward Russia has been unimaginative, erratic, shortsighted and occasionally neglectful at least since the re-election of Boris Yeltsin; on the other hand, Vladimir Putin has been exercising a “soft” dictatorship for stabilitarianism and the reconstruction of state power since Russia’s liberals and democrats politically self-destructed in 2004.

That moment would have been a good time for the Bush administration to consider the results American and Western policy toward Russia but the administration, engrossed with Iraq, was content to continue to leave policy on autopilot, following the the lead of the EU and of the State Department experts who were running relations into the ground. In a nutshell, we have managed a trifecta of appearing to Moscow to be at once meddlesome and overbearing, ineffectual (in the face of Russian bullying of its “near abroad” neighbors) and uninterested in any kind of strategic partnership with Russia. This is not a recipe for diplomatic success.

In fairness to the Bush administration, our poor foreign policy record in regard to post-Soviet Russia stretches back through Clinton-Gore to the last years of Bush I. where Richard Nixon was virtually tearing his hair out in frustration. Moreover, American policy can only effect Russia on the margin. The locus of choice lies with Putin and his siloviki circle who have opted for creeping authoritarianism; but the U.S. might have made it a good deal easier for them to choose to move forward rather than to turn the clock back.

A few articles across the spectrum that are worth your time to read if you are interested in Russian-American affairs:

Why Putin is determined to make Russia strong again” by Trevor Royle

Russia Redux” by Vladimir Popov in The New Left Review ( hat tip to Lexington Green)

Post-Weimar Russia? There Are Sad Signs.” by Dr. Andreas Ulmand at HNN


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