Simply so much.. 02
[ by Charles Cameron – omnium gatherum — USMC predicting 2045 — is 2031 The End? — Saudis. friend or foe? ]
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Splitting hairs, atoms, black swans?
I’m thinking of Lise Meitner as I view the Marine Corps’ ambitiously titled Security Environment Forecast 2030-2045. Who would have thought in 1919 that Hahn, Meitner and Strassmann in 1935 would begin a program that resulted in 1939 in her 1939 paper Disintegration of Uranium by Neutrons: A New Type of Nuclear Reaction — which in turn led to Moe Berg‘s attending a lecture by Heisenberg, the Trinity test at Alamagordo, and Hiroshima and Nagasaki?
And yet the period from 1919 (Treaty of Versailles) to 1939 (fission theorized) is only 20 years, and from 1919 to 1945 (nuclear warfare) is 26 years — equivalents, respectively, to the periods from 2015 (today) to 2035 (a third of the way into the USMC’s period of prediction) and 2041 (still within the UMSC timeline).
In view of this comparison, is the MCSEF’s assertion plausible?
Analysis of patterns and trends in seven categories, including demographics, technology, resource competition, environmental stresses, globalization, governance, and urban littorals, enables projection 15 to 30 years into the future of four plausible world futures: a baseline future, two alternative futures, and a “preferred” future.
— and we haven’t even considered how much influence von Neumann and Turing would have by 1945, as understood in 2019..
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2031 will be the End of Days:
— for the record, yes, because Christ was crucified in 31 CE:
— at least according to the video Passage through the Veil of Time.
As a sidenote, the USMC Futures Directorate either hasn’t run across this date-setting (likely) or (most improbable) dismisses it as lacking sound reasoning or evidence. Ha!
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Saudi Arabia — on or off the hook?
Sources:
Seattle Times, Judge drops Saudi Arabia from Sept. 11 lawsuit The Independent, The evil empire of Saudi Arabia is the West’s real enemy
October 1st, 2015 at 4:47 pm
The Saudis are desert raiders who have all the moral character and values that you would expect of desert raiders. They haven’t changed. They have absolutely no power, zero, zip, zilch, nada beyond what we give them. They cannot explore for oil, drill wells, extract, transport, refine nor anything else associated with getting oil from the ground to the place where it is finally burned for power. We, the West, do that for them. Then we pay them great gobs of money for the privilege of doing all the work involved in getting the oil. They then, as befits the rapacious, cruel desert raiders they are, use that money in an ongoing effort to destroy us.
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Why do we do this? I can only guess that it is ongoing guilt for the past sins of Western colonialism, or rather the perceived sins. Regardless of why, we do this and we are destroying ourselves because of it. It makes no sense for us to do all the work, the Saudis do none while we pay them money mainly for being there which they use to attempt to destroy us.
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This may be a bit of a radical proposal, but why don’t we just seize the fields? There are all kinds of ways to do it, proxy forces, an alliance of us and the Red Chinese or who knows. What is certain is penurious Saudis are no trouble to anybody.
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It is too bad for us and the world oil didn’t get to be important in the 18th century. Western powers would have just seized Arabia and taken the oil. If they had fended of the “I’m a bad colonialist.” blues we would still have it today and the world would be much better for it.
October 9th, 2015 at 1:22 am
“They have absolutely no power, zero, zip, zilch, nada beyond what we give them.”
Really? I mean, if I understand it correctly, to the Saudis we are really only hired contractors.
So when does the hired help get to tell those in power what to do?
“It makes no sense for us to do all the work, the Saudis do none while we pay them money mainly for being there which they use to attempt to destroy us.”
Of course it makes sense, and why would they want to keep the contractor when their own people can do just as good job?
By the way, could it be that they are paying us in oil? Is it not “them” (as opposed to the Chinese) who are keeping Obama’s gas pricing low? Are you expecting “them” to not help the next person in the executive branch?
Are you an idiot?
October 9th, 2015 at 3:13 am
I mean, with no disrespect, like an idiot savant.