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Archive for June 22nd, 2012

The Psychology of Intelligence Analysis

Friday, June 22nd, 2012

Recently, commenter L.C. Rees brought to our attention  Psychology of Intelligence Analysis by Richards J.  Heuer, one of the rare sort of CIA officers who spent decades in both the Directorate of Operations and the Directorate of Intelligence.  I have been thumbing through Heuer’s work and if you have an interest in metacognition, analytical clarity, and cognitive biases, this book is for you.

One bead for a rosary

Friday, June 22nd, 2012

[ by Charles Cameron — one bead from NASA for the glass bead game as rosary ]
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photo credit: Norman Kuring, NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center
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Consider her sacred, treat her with care.

Recommended Reading & Viewing

Friday, June 22nd, 2012

Bruce Kesler -“Existential Defeatism” Abroad and at Home 

….Restraint in foreign engagements, particularly military, is certainly to be prized unless clear US national interests, mechanisms, and follow-through plans are pretty clearly present, and articulated by our national political leaders so necessary to domestic support. However, instead, what we’ve increasingly seen is muddling and disparagement of the very concept of US national interests, substituting outright negativity, conceptual distractions, and refusal to actively engage unless elusive or impossible international consensus is reached, to include Russia and China who aren’t shy about exerting themselves actively in opposition to US or Western interests. In effect, as well, the US and Western Europe have too often abandoned its moral core, as well, to the favor of those who don’t share it or deride or hate it.

Kings of War (David Betz) -My correct views on COIN and Beyond the Cloister Redux: A Case for the Militarisation of Higher Education*

….But I digress, the point is that it cuts both ways: You can’t educate good strategists without acculturating them to certain military realities, which I think at present we really aren’t doing very well. How can we trust people to make good strategic evaluations if we don’t equip them with some technical familiarity with the instruments of military power and bolster their sense of judgment with extra lashings of military history? A strategist who doesn’t grasp details, let alone one who is contemptuous of them, is going to be a bad strategist.

Anne-Marie Slaughter -Why Women Still Can’t Have It All 

….Yet the decision to step down from a position of power—to value family over professional advancement, even for a time—is directly at odds with the prevailing social pressures on career professionals in the United States. One phrase says it all about current attitudes toward work and family, particularly among elites. In Washington, “leaving to spend time with your family” is a euphemism for being fired. 

Venkat Rao -Analysis-Paralysis and The Sensemaking Trap 

Attention Boydians……

Fred Leland -Winning at Low Cost: No better friend, no better role model, no better diplomat and, no worse enemy 

Attention Boydians…..

Small Wars Journal -Things I Learned from People Who Tried to Kill Me

Shlok Vaidya -REVIEW – BUSINESS MODEL GENERATION: A HANDBOOK FOR VISIONARIES, GAME CHANGERS, AND CHALLENGERS 

IntelWire -THE CIA’S SECRET AL QAEDA FILES

Outside Magazine -INTERVIEW ISSUE 2012: ADVENTURER ROBERT YOUNG PELTON ON DANGEROUS PLACES

AFJ -THE MILITARIZATION OF THE PRESIDENCY 

John Seely Brown, Douglas Thomas – Learning for a World of Constant Change: Homo Sapiens, Homo Faber & Homo Ludens revisited

HONOR THY FRIENDS DEPARTMENT:

Carl Prine – Hank III kicks ass!!! 

Command Posts -DOCTRINE MAN!! SAVING THE WORLD WITHOUT A PLAN 


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