Archive for the ‘networks’ Category
Tuesday, September 28th, 2010
Good friend and co-author Michael Lotus, a.k.a. “Lexington Green“ has a feature article as he debuts at The RIGHTNETWORK. Congrats Mike!
The Insurgency
Mass political movements often begin with a single, striking event. The Insurgency began in the fall of 2008, when President Bush, Senator Obama, and Senator McCain appeared together to endorse the TARP bailout. At that moment the lights came on for many Americans. It was glaringly obvious that both political parties jointly operated the system, and the system existed to protect the well connected at the expense of everyone else. The public opposed the TARP bailouts; the banks got their money anyway. The Insurgency, long brewing, began.
The Insurgency is a movement of citizens directed against unsustainable government taxation and regulation, and spending, both of which benefit insiders rather than ordinary people. The target of the Insurgency is a leviathan in Washington, D.C. that will ruin us all if it is not dismantled.
The Insurgency is part of a long tradition of mass political movements in our history. It has the potential to make a fundamental change in American life-for the better.
….2. What is the Insurgency? Why now?
For now the Tea Party movement, ignited by Rick Santelli’s “Rant Heard Round the World,” is the dominant component of the Insurgency; Glenn Beck‘s gathering of hundreds of thousands of people in Washington, D.C. is another, overlapping one. The people who have gathered around Governor Sarah Palin form yet another part of the Insurgency, as do the libertarian-minded citizens who read blogs like Instapundit. Many of Rush Limbaugh‘s, Sean Hannity‘s, and Mark Levin‘s listeners are part of it. Various long-established conservative groups that have always opposed big government are now parts of the Insurgency.
There are appear to be three factors that have caused the rise of the Insurgency now, and the particular form it is taking: 1) technology, 2) a new, heightened awareness of the problem, and 3) the shock of the current crisis.
First, new technology allows massive, decentralized and horizontal organizations to form quickly. The Tea Party is the best current example: There is coordination, but no central direction. There is no one in charge, giving orders, but rather many people and groups cooperating. This is only possible due to current technology.
“[Technology] enabled the Insurgency,
but it did not cause it.”
Technology, however, cannot by itself explain the rise of the Insurgency. After all, the political Left actually pioneered in this area: MoveOn was a highly effective internet-based organization, for example. It does seem odd, in retrospect, that a tech-savvy Left would cast its lot with a top-down, government-centric political culture. And there may be some overarching affinity between libertarian-style thinking and the new technology. But that technology is ultimately neutral. It enabled the Insurgency, but it did not cause it.
Read the rest here.
UPDATED:
Michael has published the second part of his essay:
….Mass political movements have come along several times in American history. Some have transformed the country, and others have fizzled out.
The movement that elected Andrew Jackson, against the vicious opposition of the existing establishment, swept through all levels of American government, rewriting state constitutions and extending the franchise to all adult White males. Jacksonian democracy caused a permanent and irreversible change in American life.
The Populist movement looked like it would have a similar impact. Led by the charismatic outsider William Jennings Bryan, this movement held gigantic rallies and seemed like a revolution in the making. It provoked fear and a hostile response from the establishment of its day, in both political parties. Yet the Populists ultimately failed to make a significant impact on national policy, and were absorbed into the Democratic Party.
Today’s Insurgency could go either way. Success is not inevitable.
Posted in America, analogy, analytic, authors, chicago boyz, conservativism, culture, democracy, democratic party, ideas, insurgency, intellectuals, lexington green, Liberalism, networks, Oligarchy, open-source, organizations, politics, primary loyalties, Republic, republican party | 10 Comments »
Monday, August 30th, 2010

Fallen Walls and Fallen Towers: The Fate of the Nation in a Global World
by Adrienne Redd
I “met” Dr. Adrienne Redd some years ago through the kind offices of Critt Jarvis, which resulted in a wide-ranging and intermittent email discussion, sometimes joined by John Robb and others, of “virtual states”, “virtual nations”, “micropowers” and evolving concepts of sovereignty and statehood in international relations. It was an intellectually stimulating conversation.
Today, Dr. Redd is Nimble Books’ newest author, and she has just sent me a review copy of Fallen Walls and Fallen Towers, the culmination of approximately seven years of research and writing. Redd investigates nothing less than the “fate of the state” and I am looking forward to reading her argument in detail.
To be reviewed here soon….
Posted in 21st century, 4GW, academia, analytic, connectivity, diplomacy, diplomatic history, Failed State, foreign policy, framing, futurism, geopolitics, globalization, government, horizontal thinking, ideas, intellectuals, legitimacy, national security, networks, Nimble Books, non-state actors, organizations, politics, security, social science, society, state failure, strategy, terrorism, theory | 1 Comment »
Thursday, July 22nd, 2010
This is interesting. Age-old, conventional strategic wisdom is supported by social network mapping research involving 300,000 ppl:
‘The Friend of My Enemy Is My Enemy’: Virtual Universe Study Proves 80-Year-Old Theory on How Humans Interact
ScienceDaily (July 20, 2010) – A new study analysing interactions between players in a virtual universe game has for the first time provided large-scale evidence to prove an 80 year old psychological theory called Structural Balance Theory. The research, published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, shows that individuals tend to avoid stress-causing relationships when they develop a society, resulting in more stable social networks.
The study, carried out at Imperial College London, the Medical University of Vienna and the Santa Fe Institute, analyses relationships between 300,000 players in an online game called Pardus (http://www.pardus.at/). In this open-ended game, players act as spacecraft exploring a virtual universe, where they can make friends and enemies, and communicate, trade and fight with one another.
Structural Balance Theory is an 80 year old psychological theory that suggests some networks of relationships are more stable than others in a society. Specifically, the theory deals with positive and negative links between three individuals, where ‘the friend of my enemy is my enemy’ is more stable (and therefore more common) than ‘the friend of my friend is my enemy’.
….The authors found that in positive relationships, players are more likely to reciprocate actions and sentiments than in negative ones. For example, if player A declares player B to be their friend, player B is likely to do the same. If player A declares player B to be their enemy, however, player B is not likely to reciprocate.
The research also revealed strong interactions between different types of links, with some networks overlapping extensively, as players are likely to engage in similar interactions, and others tending to exclude each other. For example, friendship and communication networks overlap: as we would expect, friends tend to talk to each other. However, trade and hostility did not overlap at all, showing that enemies tend not to trade with one another.
Dr Renaud Lambiotte said: “This may seem like an obvious finding, as we would all prefer to communicate more with people we like. However, nobody has shown the evidence for this theory on such a large scale before.”
Read the rest here.
First, I wonder what Valdis Krebs thinks of this study?
Second, does this bear out on larger scale entities that cultivate primary loyalties?
Posted in complex systems, connectivity, ideas, network theory, networks, non-state actors, Perception, primary loyalties, psychology, Questions, science, social networks, social science, society, strategy, theory, tribes | Comments Off on “The Enemy of my Enemy is…?”
Saturday, May 29th, 2010

Pamela L. Bunker and Dr. Robert J. Bunker at SWJ Blog
The Spiritual Significance of ¿Plata O Plomo?
Conventional wisdom holds that narco gang and drug cartel violence in Mexico is primarily secular in nature. This viewpoint has been recently challenged by the activities of the La Familia cartel and some Los Zetas, Gulfo, and other cartel adherents of the cult of Santa Muerte (Saint Death) by means of religious tenets of ‘divine justice’ and instances of tortured victims and ritual human sacrifice offered up to a dark deity, respectively. Severed heads thrown onto a disco floor in Michoacan in 2005 and burnt skull imprints in a clearing in a ranch in the Yucatán Peninsula in 2008 only serve to highlight the number of such incidents which have now taken place. Whereas the infamous ‘black cauldron’ incident in Matamoros in 1989, where American college student Mark Kilroy’s brain was found in a ritual nganga belonging to a local narco gang, was the rare exception, such spiritual-like activities have now become far more frequent.
These activities only serve to further elaborate concerns amongst scholars, including Sullivan, Elkus, Brands, Manwaring, and the authors, over societal warfare breaking out across the Americas. This warfare- manifesting itself in ‘criminal insurgencies’ derived from groups of gang, cartel, and mercenary networks- promotes new forms of state organization drawn from criminally based social and political norms and behaviors. These include a value system derived from illicit narcotics use, killing for sport and pleasure, human trafficking and slavery, dysfunctional perspectives on women and family life, and a habitual orientation to violence and total disregard for modern civil society and democratic freedoms. This harkens back to Peter’s thoughts concerning the emergence of a ‘new warrior class’ and, before that, van Creveld’s ‘non-trinitarian warfare’ projections.
Cultural evolution in action, accelerated by extreme violence.
Posted in 21st century, 3 gen gangs, 4GW, anthropology, cultural intelligence, culture, dystopia, Evolution, extremists, futurism, gangs, gap, global guerillas, ideas, insurgency, intellectuals, Latin America, Mexico, mob, national security, networks, non-state actors, organizations, primary loyalties, propaganda, psychology, Religion, small wars journal, social networks, social science, society, Theology, theory, transnational criminal organization, warriors | 7 Comments »
Thursday, April 29th, 2010
Posted in 2010, 21st century, 4GW, 5GW, 9/11, academia, Afghanistan, al qaida, America, analytic, COIN, complexity, counterinsurgency, government, hammes, historians, insurgency, intellectuals, military, military history, military reform, Network-centric Warfare, networks, non-state actors, open-source, organizations, primary loyalties, security, social networks, society, soft power, state failure, strategy, Strategy and War, superempowered individuals, terrorism, theory, war, warriors | Comments Off on Hammes – Who Participates in War?